State-by-State Margins Oct. 7
The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
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Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C.* 67% Massachusetts 37% Rhode Island 18% Illinois 17% New York 12% Washington 11% Vermont 10% Hawaii 10% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Connecticut 9% California 8% Delaware* 7% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
New Mexico 3% New Jersey 3% Minnesota 3% Maryland 3% Pennsylvania 2% Oregon 2% Maine 2% Ohio 1% Iowa 1% |
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Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 37% Wyoming* 36% Nebraska* 31% Oklahoma 30% North Dakota* 29% Idaho 29% Alabama 28% Alaska 27% Georgia 25% Kansas 22% Texas 21% Tennessee 19% Indiana 19% Montana 18% Kentucky 15% South Dakota 12% South Carolina 12% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
West Virginia 9% Mississippi 9% Arkansas 9% Arizona 9% Louisiana 8% Wisconsin 7% North Carolina 7% Virginia 6% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
Nevada 4% Florida 4% Colorado 4% Missouri 2% |
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