State-by-State Margins Nov. 3

The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%) D.C. 81% Massachusetts 25% Rhode Island 21% Vermont 20% New York 18% Maryland 13% Illinois 11% Hawaii 11% Connecticut 10%	Weak Kerry (5-9%) California 9% Maine 8% Washington 7% New Jersey 7% Delaware 7% Oregon 6% Minnesota 5%	Barely Kerry (<5%) Michigan 3% Pennsylvania 2% Wisconsin 1% New Hampshire 1%
Strong Bush (≥10%) Utah 46% Wyoming 40% Idaho 40% Nebraska 35% Oklahoma 32% Alaska 28% North Dakota 27% Kansas 27% Alabama 26% Texas 23% South Dakota 23% Indiana 21% Montana 20% Mississippi 20% Kentucky 20% Georgia 18% South Carolina 17% Louisiana 15% Tennessee 14% North Carolina 14% West Virginia 13% Arizona 11%	Weak Bush (5-9%) Arkansas 9% Virginia 8% Missouri 8% Colorado 7% Florida 5%	Barely Bush (<5%) Nevada 3% New Mexico 1%

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