State-by-State Margins Nov. 2

The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%) D.C. 67% New York 18% Massachusetts 14% Vermont 13% Rhode Island 13% Maryland 11% California 11% Illinois 10% Connecticut 10%	Weak Kerry (5-9%) Maine 8% Delaware 7% Oregon 6% Minnesota 6% Michigan 6% Washington 5% Florida 5%	Barely Kerry (<5%) New Mexico 3% Iowa 3% Pennsylvania 1% New Hampshire 1%
Strong Bush (≥10%) Utah 45% Wyoming 36% Oklahoma 30% Nebraska 29% Idaho 29% Alaska 27% Louisiana 26% Kansas 23% Texas 22% South Dakota 22% Montana 21% Kentucky 21% North Dakota 20% Indiana 19% Tennessee 18% Alabama 18% Arizona 15% Georgia 14% South Carolina 11%	Weak Bush (5-9%) Mississippi 9% West Virginia 8% North Carolina 8% Nevada 8% Missouri 5% Arkansas 5%	Barely Bush (<5%) Virginia 4% Wisconsin 3% Ohio 3% Colorado 3% Hawaii 1%

States that are exactly tied: New Jersey

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