State-by-State Margins Nov. 1

The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%) D.C. 67% New York 18% Massachusetts 14% Vermont 13% Rhode Island 13% Illinois 12% Maryland 11% Connecticut 10%	Weak Kerry (5-9%) Washington 9% New Jersey 8% Maine 8% Wisconsin 7% Michigan 7% Delaware 7% California 7% Oregon 6% Iowa 6% Minnesota 5%	Barely Kerry (<5%) Pennsylvania 4% Ohio 2% Florida 1%
Strong Bush (≥10%) Utah 45% Wyoming 36% Oklahoma 30% Nebraska 29% Idaho 29% Alaska 27% Louisiana 26% Kansas 23% Texas 22% South Dakota 22% Montana 21% Kentucky 21% North Dakota 20% Indiana 19% Tennessee 18% Alabama 18% Arizona 15% South Carolina 14% Georgia 12% North Carolina 10%	Weak Bush (5-9%) Mississippi 9% West Virginia 8% Arkansas 8% Nevada 5% Missouri 5%	Barely Bush (<5%) Virginia 4% Hawaii 1% Colorado 1%

States that are exactly tied: New Hampshire New Mexico

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