State-by-State Margins May 25
The numbers in the table below give the margins between the candidates. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the margin will be shown as 3%. The margin of error in most polls is about 3%, so when the margin is 3% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
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Strong Kerry (≥10%)
California 10% Connecticut 18% Delaware* 13% D.C.* 80% Hawaii* 19% Maine 13% Massachusetts 24% New Hampshire 10% New York 19% Rhode Island 22% Vermont 15% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Illinois 5% Maryland 5% Michigan 9% Minnesota 9% New Mexico 5% Oregon 6% Pennsylvania 8% Washington 9% Wisconsin 8% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
Florida 1% Missouri 3% Nevada 3% New Jersey 3% Ohio 4% |
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Strong Bush (≥10%)
Alabama 25% Alaska* 31% Idaho* 39% Indiana 21% Kansas 18% Kentucky 12% Louisiana 14% Mississippi* 17% Montana 32% Nebraska* 29% North Dakota* 28% Oklahoma 19% South Dakota 16% Texas 29% Utah 45% Virginia 18% Wyoming* 40% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
Arizona 8% Colorado 9% Iowa 5% North Carolina 7% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
Arkansas 4% Georgia 3% South Carolina 2% Tennessee 2% West Virginia 2% |
* No state polls have been conducted in AK, DC, DL, HI, ID, MS, ND, NE, and WY, so the 2000 results are used. DC, DL, and HI are solid Democratic; the rest are solid Republican.
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