Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 320   Bush 218

Wyoming (3 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 28% Bush: 68% Nader: 2% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 28.3%, Bush 69.2%, Nader 2.0% Wisconsin (10 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 52% Bush: 44% Nader: 1% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 47.8%, Bush 47.6%, Nader 3.6% West Virginia (5 EVs) Barely Bush Kerry: 46% Bush: 48% Nader: 2% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 45.6%, Bush 51.9%, Nader 1.6% Washington (11 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 53% Bush: 44% Nader: 1% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 50.2%, Bush 44.6%, Nader 4.1% Virginia (13 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 33% Bush: 51% Source: PollingReport.com (Nov 03) 2000: Gore: 44.5%, Bush 52.5% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 36% Nader: 4% Source: Hedgehog (May 5) 2000: Gore: 50.7%, Bush 40.8%, Nader 6.9% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 36% Nader: 4% Source: Hedgehog (May 5) 2000: Gore: 50.7%, Bush 40.8%, Nader 6.9% Utah (5 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 22% Bush: 67% Nader: 3% Source: Dan Jones (May 13) 2000: Gore: 26.5%, Bush 67.2%, Nader 4.7% Texas (34 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 29% Bush: 58% Source: PollingReport.com (May 15) 2000: Gore: 38.0%, Bush 59.3% Tennessee (11 EVs) Barely Bush Kerry: 47% Bush: 49% Nader: 1% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 47.3%, Bush 51.2%, Nader 1.0% South Dakota (3 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 35% Bush: 51% Nader: 4% Source: PollingReport.com (May 21) 2000: Gore: 37.6%, Bush 60.3%, Nader 0.0% South Carolina (8 EVs) Barely Bush Kerry: 43% Bush: 45% Source: PollingReport.com (Jan 04) 2000: Gore: 40.9%, Bush 56.9% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 53% Bush: 31% Source: PollingReport.com (Feb 04) 2000: Gore: 61.0%, Bush 31.9% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 53% Bush: 31% Source: PollingReport.com (Feb 04) 2000: Gore: 61.0%, Bush 31.9% Pennsylvania (21 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 43% Nader: 2% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 50.6%, Bush 46.4%, Nader 2.1% Oregon (7 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 50% Bush: 44% Nader: 3% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 47.1%, Bush 46.6%, Nader 5.1% Oklahoma (7 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 34% Bush: 53% Source: Hedgehog (May 19) 2000: Gore: 38.4%, Bush 60.3% Ohio (20 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 49% Bush: 45% Nader: 1% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 46.4%, Bush 50.0%, Nader 2.5% North Dakota (3 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 33% Bush: 61% Nader: 3% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 33.1%, Bush 60.7%, Nader 3.3% North Carolina (15 EVs) Weak Bush Kerry: 41% Bush: 48% Nader: 3% Source: PollingReport.com (May 04) 2000: Gore: 43.1%, Bush 56.0%, Nader 0.0% New York (31 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 32% Nader: 1% Source: PollingReport.com (Apr 22) 2000: Gore: 60.2%, Bush 35.2%, Nader 3.6% New Mexico (5 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 48% Bush: 43% Nader: 3% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 47.9%, Bush 47.8%, Nader 3.6% New Jersey (15 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 46% Bush: 43% Nader: 5% Source: PollingReport.com (May 16) 2000: Gore: 56.1%, Bush 40.3%, Nader 3.0% New Jersey (15 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 46% Bush: 43% Nader: 5% Source: PollingReport.com (May 16) 2000: Gore: 56.1%, Bush 40.3%, Nader 3.0% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 50% Bush: 40% Nader: 2% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 46.9%, Bush 48.2%, Nader 3.9% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 50% Bush: 40% Nader: 2% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 46.9%, Bush 48.2%, Nader 3.9% Nevada (5 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 47% Bush: 44% Nader: 3% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 46.2%, Bush 49.8%, Nader 2.5% Nebraska (5 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 33% Bush: 62% Nader: 4% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 33.2%, Bush 62.2%, Nader 3.5% Montana (3 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 26% Bush: 58% Source: PollingReport.com (Dec 10) 2000: Gore: 33.4%, Bush 58.4% Missouri (11 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 47% Bush: 44% Nader: 2% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 47.1%, Bush 50.4%, Nader 1.6% Mississippi (6 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 41% Bush: 58% Nader: 1% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 40.7%, Bush 57.6%, Nader 0.8% Minnesota (10 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 42% Nader: 3% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 47.9%, Bush 45.5%, Nader 5.2% Michigan (17 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 50% Bush: 41% Nader: 2% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 51.3%, Bush 46.1%, Nader 2.0% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 54% Bush: 30% Nader: 5% Source: PollingReport.com (May 6) 2000: Gore: 59.9%, Bush 32.5%, Nader 6.4% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 54% Bush: 30% Nader: 5% Source: PollingReport.com (May 6) 2000: Gore: 59.9%, Bush 32.5%, Nader 6.4% Maryland (10 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 48% Bush: 43% Source: PollingReport.com (Mar 24) 2000: Gore: 56.6%, Bush 40.2% Maryland (10 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 48% Bush: 43% Source: PollingReport.com (Mar 24) 2000: Gore: 56.6%, Bush 40.2% Maine (4 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 38% Nader: 4% Source: PollingReport.com (Mar 3) 2000: Gore: 49.1%, Bush 44.0%, Nader 5.7% Louisiana (9 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 38% Bush: 52% Nader: 2% Source: Harris Deville (Mar 29) 2000: Gore: 44.9%, Bush 52.6%, Nader 0.8% Kentucky (8 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 40% Bush: 52% Source: PollingReport.com (May 11) 2000: Gore: 41.3%, Bush 56.4% Kansas (6 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 39% Bush: 57% Source: Hedgehog (Mar 4) 2000: Gore: 37.2%, Bush 58.0% Iowa (7 EVs) Weak Bush Kerry: 45% Bush: 50% Nader: 1% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 48.6%, Bush 48.3%, Nader 2.2% Indiana (11 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 33% Bush: 54% Nader: 6% Source: PollingReport.com (May 23) 2000: Gore: 41.0%, Bush 56.6%, Nader 0.8% Illinois (21 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 46% Bush: 41% Nader: 8% Source: Hedgehog (May 12) 2000: Gore: 54.6%, Bush 42.6%, Nader 2.2% Idaho (4 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 28% Bush: 67% Nader: 2% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 27.6%, Bush 67.2%, Nader 2.5% Hawaii (4 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 56% Bush: 37% Nader: 6% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 55.8%, Bush 37.5%, Nader 5.9% Georgia (15 EVs) Barely Bush Kerry: 44% Bush: 47% Nader: 1% Source: Shapiro Res. Group (Feb 9) 2000: Gore: 43.2%, Bush 55.0%, Nader 0.0% Florida (27 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 49% Bush: 48% Nader: 1% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 48.8%, Bush 48.8%, Nader 1.6% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 89% Bush: 9% Nader: 5% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 85.7%, Bush 9.0%, Nader 5.3% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 89% Bush: 9% Nader: 5% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 85.7%, Bush 9.0%, Nader 5.3% Delaware (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 55% Bush: 42% Nader: 3% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 55.0%, Bush 41.9%, Nader 2.5% Delaware (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 55% Bush: 42% Nader: 3% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 55.0%, Bush 41.9%, Nader 2.5% Connecticut (7 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 33% Nader: 4% Source: Univ. of Connecticut (Apr 27) 2000: Gore: 55.9%, Bush 38.4%, Nader 4.4% Connecticut (7 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 33% Nader: 4% Source: Univ. of Connecticut (Apr 27) 2000: Gore: 55.9%, Bush 38.4%, Nader 4.4% Colorado (9 EVs) Weak Bush Kerry: 40% Bush: 49% Nader: 4% Source: PollingReport.com (Apr 27) 2000: Gore: 42.4%, Bush 50.8%, Nader 5.3% California (55 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 49% Bush: 39% Nader: 6% Source: Hedgehog (Apr 6) 2000: Gore: 53.4%, Bush 41.7%, Nader 3.8% Arkansas (6 EVs) Barely Bush Kerry: 45% Bush: 49% Nader: 1% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 45.9%, Bush 51.3%, Nader 1.5% Arizona (10 EVs) Weak Bush Kerry: 37% Bush: 45% Nader: 7% Source: Rocky Mountain (May 5) 2000: Gore: 44.7%, Bush 51.0%, Nader 3.0% Alaska (3 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 28% Bush: 59% Nader: 10% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 27.8%, Bush 58.8%, Nader 10.1% Alabama (9 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 29% Bush: 54% Nader: 5% Source: Hedgehog (May 13) 2000: Gore: 41.6%, Bush 56.5%, Nader 1.1%

Data in Excel format Battleground states Info about the states Previous report Next report   Strong Kerry (130) Weak Kerry (112) Barely Kerry (78) Exactly tied (0) Barely Bush (45) Weak Bush (41) Strong Bush (132)

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