Dem 47
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GOP 53
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Is Trump's Honeymoon Already Over?

Multiple polls are showing that Donald Trump's approval rating is now underwater. Watch:



The WaPo/Ipsos poll broke things down by Republicans and non-Republicans (i.e., Democrats plus independents). The contrast is startling. Trump ran a base-only campaign, and now he is running a base-only presidency. On virtually every issue, support of non-Republicans is 40-50 points lower than support of Republicans. Here are some selected issues, with green being non-Republicans and red being Republicans:

Approval gap Republicans vs. non-Republicans on 15 different issues

As long as Republicans support Trump, most Republicans in Congress will follow him and ignore everyone else. However, in swing districts, where House members need votes of Democrats and independents to win general elections, having Trump being so unpopular with non-Republicans could be a real problem. And we are only 5 weeks in. Historically, a president's popularity goes down over time as he fails to do what his supporters expected and the opposition gets energized by the approaching midterms. (V)



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