Dem
50
GOP
50
Wow, is Kari Lake a bad candidate. When she gets crushed in November, will she claim she won? And, more importantly, will she finally go away, or is she going to run for something else in 2026? Truth be told, we're not sure she could get elected dogcatcher. Maybe Sheriff of Maricopa County, though. They seem to like their sheriffs insane. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 54% | Kari Lake | 44% | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Marist Coll. |
| Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 55% | Kari Lake | 42% | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Beacon + Shaw for Fox |
| Maryland | Angela Alsobrooks | 51% | Larry Hogan | 40% | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | U of Maryland |
| Michigan | Elissa Slotkin | 47% | Mike Rogers | 34% | Sep 11 | Sep 19 | YouGov |
| Nevada | Jacky Rosen* | 53% | Sam Brown | 38% | Sep 09 | Sep 16 | Noble Predictive Insights |
| Pennsylvania | Bob Casey* | 47% | David McCormick | 38% | Sep 11 | Sep 19 | YouGov |
| Texas | Colin Allred | 45% | Ted Cruz* | 49% | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Emerson Coll. |
| Virginia | Tim Kaine* | 51% | Hung Cao | 41% | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Emerson Coll. |