Dem
49
GOP
51
Emerson has had a Republican lean this cycle, so this isn't a good poll for Hogan. As to the Pennsylvania poll, about half of them have the race with McCormick in shouting distance, while the other half have Casey winning in a walk. Hard to know which is more correct, but since they all have Casey winning (over 60 polls this year, and counting), you still have to assume he's going to be reelected. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Maryland | Angela Alsobrooks | 49% | Larry Hogan | 42% | Sep 12 | Sep 13 | Emerson Coll. |
| Pennsylvania | Bob Casey* | 47% | David McCormick | 43% | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Suffolk U. |