Dem
49
GOP
51
As compensation for not much text, boy do we have polls today! Multiple pollsters (or their sponsors) thought it would be good to have a baseline before the debate so they can poll again in a few days and see if the debate made a difference. We thoroughly applaud this. Maybe the moderators will even ask Trump about the polls. If they prove correct, Harris can win even without Georgia and Arizona, which Biden won in 2020. North Carolina is surely worrisome to Trump. If Harris loses Pennsylvania, she can make up for it with North Carolina plus Nevada. (V)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 47% | 49% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Colorado | 55% | 40% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Florida | 47% | 49% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Georgia | 45% | 47% | Sep 05 | Sep 06 | Florida Atlantic U. |
| Georgia | 46% | 49% | Sep 04 | Sep 08 | Quinnipiac U. |
| Georgia | 48% | 48% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Maryland | 62% | 34% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Michigan | 49% | 46% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Minnesota | 51% | 44% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| North Carolina | 47% | 48% | Sep 05 | Sep 06 | Florida Atlantic U. |
| North Carolina | 48% | 48% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| North Carolina | 49% | 46% | Sep 04 | Sep 07 | SurveyUSA |
| North Carolina | 50% | 47% | Sep 04 | Sep 08 | Quinnipiac U. |
| Nevada | 48% | 48% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Ohio | 44% | 52% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Pennsylvania | 49% | 46% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Texas | 43% | 52% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Virginia | 52% | 42% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |
| Wisconsin | 49% | 46% | Aug 30 | Sep 08 | Morning Consult |