Dem
49
GOP
51
We saw an interesting clip of NBC's Steve Kornacki recently (but can't find the link now—sorry). In it he says that in all presidential elections going back decades, at least one of the candidates had a lead of at least 5% at some point. Only this one is different. Neither candidate has led nationally by 5 points or more at any time this year. The state polls are just as close. Today's batch of polls makes that point even more sharply. Maybe the electorate will end up being very different from what the pollsters think it will be and the election will end up not being close, but right now, all the data say it will come down to a few thousand votes in seven states. (V)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Michigan | 50% | 49% | Sep 03 | Sep 06 | YouGov |
| Pennsylvania | 50% | 50% | Sep 03 | Sep 06 | YouGov |
| Wisconsin | 51% | 49% | Sep 03 | Sep 06 | YouGov |