Dem
49
GOP
51
Montana is looking not-so-good for the blue team. They would be very, very happy if they could replace it with Florida. The problem for the DSCC is that Florida is a very big and very expensive state to advertise in. Is it wise to pull money out of Ohio and Montana to gamble on Florida? We don't know. Maybe if Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Pennslyvania can take care of themselves, it might be. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| California | Adam Schiff | 55% | Steve Garvey | 33% | Sep 03 | Sep 05 | Emerson Coll. |
| Florida | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 36% | Rick Scott* | 44% | Aug 23 | Aug 31 | U. of Texas |
| Florida | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 45% | Rick Scott* | 46% | Sep 03 | Sep 05 | Emerson Coll. |
| Florida | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 45% | Rick Scott* | 46% | Sep 03 | Sep 05 | Morning Consult |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown* | 46% | Bernie Moreno | 44% | Sep 03 | Sep 05 | Emerson Coll. |
| Texas | Colin Allred | 36% | Ted Cruz* | 44% | Aug 23 | Aug 31 | U. of Texas |
| Texas | Colin Allred | 44% | Ted Cruz* | 48% | Sep 03 | Sep 05 | Emerson Coll. |