Dem
48
Ties
1
GOP
51
Will 20% of Maryland voters really cast a split ballot? We are still having trouble accepting that. Will 10% of Arizona and Nevada voters do likewise? We are very skeptical about so many states where the presidential and Senate elections are so far apart. In Maryland, we think that the Senate poll showing Angela Alsobrooks and Larry Hogan tied is simply a statistical fluke since earlier polls showed Alsobrooks with a huge lead. Arizona and Nevada are harder to explain since there are many polls showing Rep Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) and Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-NV) with huge leads and also many polls showing the presidential race a tossup. (Z & V)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Maryland | 56% | 35% | Aug 24 | Aug 30 | Gonzales Research |
| Michigan | 44% | 45% | Aug 26 | Aug 29 | Glengariff Group |
| North Carolina | 47% | 48% | Aug 26 | Aug 28 | East Carolina U. |