Dem
51
GOP
49
The swing states are still showing up as coin flips. If this is true, then it's worth remembering that Kamala Harris probably needs to win fewer coin flips than Donald Trump does. In most combinations, he needs four of seven swing states, while she needs three. The only way Trump can do it with just three is if the three are Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania AND he wins at least one of the two CD-level EVs in Nebraska or Maine. (Z)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 48% | 49% | Aug 29 | Aug 31 | Insider Advantage |
| Florida | 47% | 53% | Aug 16 | Aug 31 | Activote |
| Georgia | 48% | 48% | Aug 29 | Aug 31 | Insider Advantage |
| North Carolina | 48% | 49% | Aug 29 | Aug 31 | Insider Advantage |
| North Carolina | 50% | 50% | Aug 06 | Aug 31 | Activote |
| Nebraska | 37% | 54% | Aug 23 | Aug 27 | SurveyUSA |
| Nevada | 47% | 48% | Aug 29 | Aug 31 | Insider Advantage |
| Texas | 46% | 55% | Aug 14 | Aug 31 | Activote |