Dem 49
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GOP 51
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Democrats' Closing Message in Pennsylvania: Abortion, Abortion, Abortion

As we have mentioned more than a few times, Pennsylvania is the biggest swing state and may even be the closest. Consequently, it is getting quite a bit of love right now. Kamala Harris' message there is largely about abortion, especially in the suburbs. Here is a typical Harris billboard there.

It says that because 
of Donald Trump, 20 states have harsh abortion bans, and Pennsylvania could be next

Pennsylvania is special in another way, besides being the biggest swing state. It has the only divided state legislature in the country. The state House is 102D, 100R but the state Senate is 20D, 28R, and two Forward/Democrats. Harris and the Democrats are trying to beef up the House and possibly even flip the Senate. That only adds to the urgency surrounding Pennsylvania. Both chambers used to be controlled by the Republicans, but the Democrats flipped the state House in 2022. They believe that abortion played a role in that and are pouring money into state races like never before. They are hoping the synergy with the Harris campaign will do the trick.

State Democrats have an extensive GOTV operation and are now knocking on doors for the second or third time. Some are focused on getting Democrats to vote. Others are focused on getting moderate pro-choice Republicans to flip and vote based on that one issue. There are enough of them that it could matter, especially in places like Bucks County, north of Philadelphia. (V)



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