Dem
49
GOP
51
It's Halloween. Time for scary stuff. How about this. Look at the map. Suppose Kamala Harris wins Nevada and Arizona. Then the EV score is Harris 268 and Trump 270. Trump wins. But we haven't accounted for NE-02 and ME-02. We are basically assuming the whole state goes the same way. Donald Trump will probably win ME-02 because it is R+6. However, it is not a sure thing because Rep. Jared Golden (D-ME) represents the district in the House. Suppose Harris wins Nevada, Arizona, and both ME-02 and NE-02, then we get 269-269 and a contingent election in the House, with each state getting one vote. Imagine what would happen if some rich people, let's just make up some fictious names here, Elon Soros or George Musk began offering LARGE "incentives" to the new members of the House to encourage them to cast their votes a certain way. Remember that seven states have only a single member in the House and another seven have only two members. Still not scared? You're tough. OK, you want to hear the story about the Egyptian government? No? Coward. As we said above, Happy Halloween!
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 45% | 43% | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | RABA Research |
| Michigan | 47% | 47% | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Suffolk U. |
| Michigan | 48% | 43% | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | SSRS for CNN |
| Michigan | 49% | 49% | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Beacon + Shaw for Fox |
| North Carolina | 49% | 50% | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Beacon + Shaw for Fox |
| Nebraska | 40% | 55% | Oct 21 | Oct 28 | YouGov |
| New Hampshire | 51% | 46% | Oct 28 | Oct 29 | St. Anselm Coll. |
| New Jersey | 55% | 35% | Oct 15 | Oct 22 | Rutgers-Eagleton |
| Pennsylvania | 46% | 47% | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Monmouth U. |
| Pennsylvania | 47% | 49% | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Quinnipiac U. |
| Pennsylvania | 48% | 48% | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | SSRS for CNN |
| Pennsylvania | 49% | 50% | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Beacon + Shaw for Fox |
| Utah | 34% | 54% | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Noble Predictive Insights |
| Wisconsin | 50% | 49% | Oct 16 | Oct 24 | Marquette Law School |
| Wisconsin | 51% | 45% | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | SSRS for CNN |