Dem
49
GOP
51
Take a look at Michigan as an illustration of what we are talking about the item on polling today. That's a 6-point spread between the two pollsters. At least one of them is way wrong, and they might both be way wrong. Also note that today we have 13 polls from YouGov that were in the field Oct. 1 to Oct 25. These were done by YouGov, which is a legitimate pollster and sponsored by CES which is an academic group studying elections. The middle date here is Oct. 13, so these polls will have aged out except in states not polled since then. (Z)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 47% | 51% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| Arizona | 48% | 47% | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | SSRS for CNN |
| Florida | 44% | 53% | Oct 19 | Oct 27 | Florida Atlantic U. |
| Florida | 46% | 52% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| Georgia | 46% | 51% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| Massachusetts | 60% | 37% | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Emerson Coll. |
| Michigan | 49% | 50% | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Emerson Coll. |
| Michigan | 51% | 46% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| Minnesota | 51% | 43% | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | SurveyUSA |
| Minnesota | 53% | 43% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| North Carolina | 47% | 47% | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | SurveyUSA |
| North Carolina | 48% | 50% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| New Hampshire | 52% | 45% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| Nevada | 47% | 48% | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | SSRS for CNN |
| Nevada | 51% | 47% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| Ohio | 45% | 52% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| Pennsylvania | 49% | 48% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| Pennsylvania | 49% | 49% | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | YouGov |
| Texas | 47% | 51% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| Virginia | 52% | 44% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |
| Wisconsin | 50% | 47% | Oct 01 | Oct 25 | YouGov |