Dem
50
GOP
50
Could Cruz lose? Seems unlikely to us.
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 53% | Kari Lake | 45% | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Marist Coll. |
| Florida | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 47% | Rick Scott* | 53% | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Emerson Coll. |
| Maryland | Angela Alsobrooks | 57% | Larry Hogan | 43% | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Emerson Coll. |
| Michigan | Elissa Slotkin | 52% | Mike Rogers | 44% | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Quinnipiac U. |
| Texas | Colin Allred | 47% | Ted Cruz* | 48% | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Emerson Coll. |
| Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin* | 49% | Eric Hovde | 48% | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Quinnipiac U. |