Dem
50
GOP
50
Maybe Harris is starting to pull ahead in Michigan. Maybe not. And we are still not sure if pollsters have managed to figure out how turnout in western North Carolina may be affected by the hurricane.
If Harris wins Michigan and Pennsylvania, she needs only one of Wisconsin, Georgia, and North Carolina (and maybe the blue dot in Nebraska). Trump would need all three of them.
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 49% | 49% | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Morning Consult |
| Arizona | 49% | 50% | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Marist Coll. |
| Florida | 46% | 54% | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Emerson Coll. |
| Georgia | 48% | 50% | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Morning Consult |
| Georgia | 49% | 49% | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Marist Coll. |
| Maryland | 64% | 34% | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Emerson Coll. |
| Maine | 48% | 41% | Sep 10 | Oct 07 | Critical Insights |
| Michigan | 50% | 46% | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Morning Consult |
| Michigan | 50% | 46% | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Quinnipiac U. |
| North Carolina | 48% | 50% | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Morning Consult |
| North Carolina | 48% | 50% | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Marist Coll. |
| Nevada | 49% | 48% | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Morning Consult |
| Pennsylvania | 50% | 48% | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Morning Consult |
| Texas | 46% | 53% | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Emerson Coll. |
| Wisconsin | 48% | 48% | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Morning Consult |
| Wisconsin | 48% | 48% | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Quinnipiac U. |