Dem
50
GOP
50
When Jack Frost was nipping at his nose, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) fled to Cancun. We wonder where he goes when Rep. Colin Allred (D-TX) is nipping at his heels. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 52% | Kari Lake | 40% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 54% | Kari Lake | 45% | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | YouGov |
| Maryland | Angela Alsobrooks | 51% | Larry Hogan | 38% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Michigan | Elissa Slotkin | 48% | Mike Rogers | 41% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Nevada | Jacky Rosen* | 52% | Sam Brown | 37% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown* | 46% | Bernie Moreno | 47% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Pennsylvania | Bob Casey* | 48% | David McCormick | 39% | Oct 02 | Oct 09 | U. of Mass. |
| Pennsylvania | Bob Casey* | 49% | David McCormick | 41% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Texas | Colin Allred | 45% | Ted Cruz* | 46% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin* | 49% | Eric Hovde | 44% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |