Dem
50
GOP
50
If you look at the map above, our poll-crunching suggests that Pennsylvania will go one direction, Wisconsin the other, and who knows about Michigan. You know the last time those three states did not all vote the same? 1988. We are therefore somewhat skeptical that the polls are right, at least at the moment. (Z)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 48% | 51% | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | YouGov |
| Arizona | 49% | 48% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Georgia | 48% | 49% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Maryland | 64% | 31% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Michigan | 49% | 47% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| North Carolina | 48% | 49% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| New Hampshire | 50% | 41% | Oct 02 | Oct 08 | U. of Mass. |
| Nevada | 49% | 45% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Ohio | 45% | 52% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Pennsylvania | 46% | 45% | Oct 02 | Oct 09 | U. of Mass. |
| Pennsylvania | 49% | 48% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Texas | 46% | 50% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |
| Utah | 39% | 54% | Sep 27 | Sep 28 | PPP |
| Washington | 57% | 32% | Oct 08 | Oct 12 | Elway Research |
| Wisconsin | 47% | 48% | Oct 06 | Oct 15 | Morning Consult |