Dem
50
GOP
50
There are very, very few plausible scenarios where the Democrats lose the Ohio seat and hold the Senate. So, those two Ohio polls have to be making Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) sweat. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 50% | Kari Lake | 43% | Oct 05 | Oct 08 | Emerson Coll. |
| Florida | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 40% | Rick Scott* | 49% | Sep 29 | Oct 06 | Siena Coll. |
| Florida | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 48% | Rick Scott* | 50% | Oct 03 | Oct 07 | Marist Coll. |
| Michigan | Elissa Slotkin | 49% | Mike Rogers | 44% | Oct 05 | Oct 08 | Emerson Coll. |
| Montana | Jon Tester* | 44% | Tim Sheehy | 52% | Oct 05 | Oct 08 | Siena Coll. |
| Nevada | Jacky Rosen* | 50% | Sam Brown | 42% | Oct 05 | Oct 08 | Emerson Coll. |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown* | 48% | Bernie Moreno | 47% | Oct 03 | Oct 07 | George Mason U. |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown* | 50% | Bernie Moreno | 48% | Oct 03 | Oct 07 | Marist Coll. |
| Pennsylvania | Bob Casey* | 48% | David McCormick | 46% | Oct 05 | Oct 08 | Emerson Coll. |
| Texas | Colin Allred | 44% | Ted Cruz* | 48% | Sep 29 | Oct 04 | Siena Coll. |
| Texas | Colin Allred | 46% | Ted Cruz* | 51% | Oct 03 | Oct 07 | Marist Coll. |
| Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin* | 50% | Eric Hovde | 46% | Oct 05 | Oct 08 | Emerson Coll. |