Dem
50
GOP
50
Did we mention that the presidential race is close? (Or, at least, the pollsters think so.) When the election is over, Siena is going to be the subject of either a lot of "Wow! They saw what other pollsters did not!" articles, or a lot of "What the hell was wrong with Siena's model?" articles. For our part, we do not believe that Donald Trump is really up 14 points in Florida. (Z)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 48% | 47% | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | GSG + NSOR |
| Arizona | 48% | 50% | Sep 24 | Oct 01 | Fabrizio + Anzalone |
| Florida | 41% | 55% | Sep 29 | Oct 06 | Siena Coll. |
| Georgia | 47% | 47% | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | GSG + NSOR |
| Massachusetts | 61% | 32% | Oct 01 | Oct 05 | Suffolk U. |
| Maryland | 57% | 35% | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | U. of Maryland |
| Michigan | 47% | 49% | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | GSG + NSOR |
| Michigan | 51% | 48% | Oct 05 | Oct 07 | Research Co. |
| North Carolina | 47% | 48% | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | GSG + NSOR |
| Nevada | 48% | 47% | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | GSG + NSOR |
| Pennsylvania | 48% | 48% | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | GSG + NSOR |
| Pennsylvania | 50% | 49% | Oct 05 | Oct 07 | Research Co. |
| Texas | 44% | 50% | Sep 29 | Oct 04 | Siena Coll. |
| Texas | 45% | 50% | Oct 02 | Oct 06 | Florida Atlantic U. |
| Wisconsin | 48% | 46% | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | GSG + NSOR |
| Wisconsin | 50% | 48% | Oct 05 | Oct 07 | Research Co. |