Given the devastation wrought by Helene, can we trust any polls from North Carolina? Unless the pollster is super careful, people in the 25 affected counties will be underpolled. These include very blue Buncombe County (Asheville) and the outlying red counties. Also, the concept "likely voter" takes on a whole new meaning now. People who insist they want to vote and are counted as likely voters may not be able to vote for logistical reasons. We think it is unfortunate, but don't take polling of North Carolina very seriously going forward.
State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
North Carolina | 48% | 48% | Sep 20 | Sep 29 | High Point U. |
New Hampshire | 51% | 44% | Oct 01 | Oct 02 | St. Anselm Coll. |
Ohio | 44% | 51% | Sep 18 | Sep 27 | YouGov |