Dem
50
GOP
50
It looks like all the endangered Democratic incumbents are reasonably safe, except possibly Montana. It would be nice if the folks polling Nevada, which is a done deal, would set their sights a bit further north and poll Montana, which is going to be critical.
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 54% | Kari Lake | 41% | Sep 19 | Sep 25 | BSG + GS for Cook |
| Michigan | Elissa Slotkin | 50% | Mike Rogers | 46% | Sep 19 | Sep 25 | BSG + GS for Cook |
| Nevada | Jacky Rosen* | 53% | Sam Brown | 40% | Sep 19 | Sep 25 | BSG + GS for Cook |
| New York | Kirsten Gillibrand* | 50% | Mike Sapraicone | 33% | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Emerson Coll. |
| Pennsylvania | Bob Casey* | 52% | David McCormick | 45% | Sep 19 | Sep 25 | BSG + GS for Cook |
| Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin* | 49% | Eric Hovde | 47% | Sep 19 | Sep 25 | BSG + GS for Cook |
| Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin* | 53% | Eric Hovde | 46% | Sep 18 | Sep 26 | Marquette Law School |