Dem
49
GOP
51
We got a couple of questions about why we and others are not treating New Hampshire like a swing state. The answer is: Because it isn't. The Republicans there, even today, tend to be more in the Rockefeller Republican mold than the Trumpublican mold. For that reason, there's been one close poll of the state since July, and in the 10 or so others, Harris was leading by 5+ points. (Z)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 47% | 48% | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Noble Predictive Insights |
| Georgia | 47% | 48% | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | SSRS for CNN |
| Georgia | 47% | 49% | Oct 17 | Oct 25 | The Citadel |
| Michigan | 47% | 46% | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | George Mason U. |
| Michigan | 49% | 45% | Oct 16 | Oct 24 | U. of Mass. |
| Michigan | 51% | 48% | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Marist Coll. |
| North Carolina | 45% | 47% | Oct 16 | Oct 23 | U. of Mass. |
| North Carolina | 48% | 47% | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | SSRS for CNN |
| New Hampshire | 50% | 43% | Oct 10 | Oct 23 | U. of Mass. |
| Pennsylvania | 48% | 47% | Oct 16 | Oct 23 | U. of Mass. |
| Pennsylvania | 50% | 48% | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Marist Coll. |
| South Carolina | 42% | 54% | Oct 17 | Oct 25 | The Citadel |
| Wisconsin | 50% | 48% | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Marist Coll. |