May28

electoral-vote.com

Dem 51

   

GOP 49

Electoral-Vote.com Presidential Tracking Poll, May Edition

We decided to table these until things settled down a bit more, but we want to have one per month for the 6 months leading up to the election. So, the presidential tracking poll makes its triumphant return today, and tomorrow the Senate tracking poll will be back.

To start with, here is our baseline, established over the first half of the year: 86.9% of readers think Joe Biden will be elected president, while 8.8% think Donald Trump will be. None of the other candidates we offered as possibilities got more than 0.25% of the vote. We shall see how those numbers change over the next month.

We also asked two other questions. The first was "Who is Donald Trump going to choose as his running mate?" The top 10 finishers:

The most popular "other" choice was Tucker Carlson. Others who did not make our list but who were suggested multiple times: Ivanka Trump, Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH), Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH), Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R-AR), Mark Meadows and Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC). We are going to run this question again, since it's surely going to generate different results post caninicide. Plus, we can add the suggested candidates who did not make the cut the first time.

For the third, "free response" question, we asked: "What song should Joe Biden choose as his 2024 campaign theme song? (And why?)" Here are some of the more popular (or more interesting) responses:

• "22," by Taylor Swift: "To emphasize that while Biden may be chronologically in his eighties, in terms of vigor, enthusiasm, and optimism about our nation's future, he's 'feelin' 22.'"
  
  
• "Biden and Liberty," by Robert Treat Paine Jr.: "After the campaign song 'Adams and Liberty,' for John Adams, because Biden will remember it fondly from his childhood."
  
  
• "Democracy is Coming to the USA," by Leonard Cohen: "First, it has a military drumbeat. Second, it was written by Leonard Cohen. Third, the aforementioned Leonard Cohen was a Canadian. Fourth, I don't follow current pop music so that was the best I could think of."
  
  
• "Don't Stop Believin'," by Journey: "Because America must not stop believing."
  
  
• "Forever Young," by Alphaville: "Does it really need any explanation?"
  
  
• "Happy Days Are Here Again," by Mitch Miller: "Biden's best bet is to run as the reincarnation of Franklin D. Roosevelt, trying to reassemble FDR's coalition."
  
  
• "I Don't Need Your Rocking Chair," by George Jones: "It's a fun, upbeat song that acknowledges the age question without making it a liability—and it's by a country music legend, so it might just catch a few Southern voters' ears."
  
  
• "I'm Still Standing," by Elton John: "Biden's had a lot of messes to clean up from TFG's time in office and a lot of other messes from the ongoing actions of TFG and the world's authoritarians. But he's dealt with them all and he is indeed still standing!"
  
  
• "Nazi Punks Fu** Off," by Dead Kennedys: "For obvious reasons."
  
  
• "Stuck in the Middle with You," by Stealers Wheel: "Clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right, here I am, stuck in the middle with you."
  
  
• "We Will Rock You," by Queen: "Why? It's the only tape Diamond Joe has in his Trans Am, and the volume is always dialed to 11."
  
  
• "Won't Get Fooled Again," by The Who: "Advice for Republicans."
  
  
• "America the Beautiful," by Ray Charles: "Because an America without Donald Trump as president is a beautiful country and full of promise."
  
  
• "I Won't Back Down," by Tom Petty: "Republicans all over want to use it, but can't get permission. Biden probably can and could mock them with it."
  
  
• "Stayin' Alive," by the Bee Gees: "That is what we're most worried about, right? As a bonus, identifying him as 'a woman's man' would be a reminder of his stance on the abortion issue."
  
  
• "This Land is Your Land," by Woody Guthrie: "It is highly inclusive. Plus, the subtext: 'This machine kills fascists' (written on Woody's guitar)."
  
  
• "You Can't Always Get What You Want," by the Rolling Stones: "I nominate this song because it highlights the fact that, while Biden may not be the ideal choice for many voters, seeing him elected (rather than TFG) is key to preserving our democracy."

This month, the "free response" question is: "What single event or development would be most likely to harm Donald Trump's chances of being re-elected?"

To vote in the new presidential tracking poll, go here. Results to be revealed next month! (Z)