Dem
51
GOP
49
As long as we're on the subject of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., we get e-mails every week asking where he has qualified for ballot access. Here's the current list of states where he has made the ballot, or where he says he has the signatures needed to make the ballot:
| State | EVs | How Accomplished? |
| Arizona | 11 | Signatures (42,303) |
| California | 54 | Nominee of the American Independent Party |
| Delaware | 3 | Nominee of the Independent Party of Delaware |
| Georgia | 16 | Signatures (7,500) |
| Hawaii | 4 | Nominee of "We the People" Party |
| Idaho | 4 | Signatures (1,000) |
| Iowa | 6 | Nominating convention staged by the campaign |
| Michigan | 15 | Nominee of the Natural Law Party |
| Nebraska | 5 | Signatures (2,500) |
| Nevada | 6 | Signatures (10,095) |
| New Hampshire | 4 | Signatures (3,000) |
| New York | 28 | Signatures (45,000) |
| North Carolina | 16 | Nominee of "We the People" Party |
| Ohio | 17 | Signatures (5,000) |
| Oklahoma | 7 | Paid $35,000 |
| South Carolina | 9 | Signatures (10,000) |
| Texas | 40 | Signatures (113,151) |
| Utah | 6 | Signatures (1,000) |
A few notes of explanation. First, the "We the People" Party is the third-party that Kennedy founded to get on the ballot in states where it's easier to qualify a third-party nominee than an independent candidate.
Second, the number in parentheses is the minimum number of signatures required to qualify for the ballot, should a candidate go that route. For the states with weird, non-round numbers, it's because a candidate is required to get signatures equal to [X]% of the electorate (e.g., in Arizona, it's 3%). Kennedy's team is clever enough to know that some signatures won't survive the verification process, and so has submitted extras (usually something like 50% more than needed) as insurance.
Third, bold type indicates states where the Kennedy campaign regards their work as complete (i.e., they have finished and submitted all the paperwork). That doesn't mean it actually IS complete; the state Secretary of State (or equivalent official) could deny certification, most commonly if not enough signatures are deemed to be valid. The remaining states on the list above are those where the campaign has said they are ready to file, but haven't yet. There are also efforts underway in another 20 or so states that aren't at the "ready to file" state. The campaign maintains a map, should you care to stay up-to-date on its progress.
The states that the Kennedy campaign considers to be complete have 187 electoral votes, while the four states where the campaign is ready to submit have another 64. That said, Kennedy isn't going to win hundreds of EVs, because he's not going to win any EVs. His role, in theory, will be "spoiler," and the states listed above where he could plausibly play that role are Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, Nebraska (NE-02), Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio and maybe Texas. The $64,000 question (or, if you're in Oklahoma, the $35,000 question) is which party's candidate he will hurt. Nobody knows the answer to that; you can tell because both the Democrats and the Republicans are scared witless that he'll take votes out of their hides. It's also possible that RFK Jr. will hurt Joe Biden in some states and Donald Trump in others, or that his support will crater and he'll end up as a minor blip on the radar. Yet another known unknown. (Z)