Dem
51
GOP
49
Emerson has had a rightward lean this cycle (and last cycle). In any case, all of these results are within the margin of error, so it really does look like a coin-flip election at the moment. FiveThirtyEight has it 50% Biden right now and 49% Trump, which is notable because it's Biden's first lead since they implemented their new algorithm. (Z)
| State | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 48% | 52% | Jun 13 | Jun 18 | Emerson Coll. |
| Georgia | 48% | 52% | Jun 13 | Jun 18 | Emerson Coll. |
| Michigan | 49% | 51% | Jun 13 | Jun 18 | Emerson Coll. |
| Minnesota | 51% | 49% | Jun 13 | Jun 18 | Emerson Coll. |
| Nevada | 50% | 50% | Jun 13 | Jun 18 | Emerson Coll. |
| New York | 47% | 39% | Jun 12 | Jun 13 | Siena Coll. |
| Pennsylvania | 49% | 51% | Jun 13 | Jun 18 | Emerson Coll. |
| Texas | 39% | 46% | May 31 | Jun 09 | U. of Texas |
| Wisconsin | 49% | 51% | Jun 13 | Jun 18 | Emerson Coll. |