Dem
51
GOP
49
We've said it before and we'll say it again. This thing is going to be decided in the North. However, we have a gut feeling that Arizona is also a toss-up on account of the Senate race and the GOP's toxic candidate, Kari Lake. Arizona has 11 EVs to Wisconsin's 10, so Biden could afford to lose Wisconsin if he wins Arizona. (Z)
| State | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Michigan | 47% | 46% | May 30 | May 31 | Florida Atlantic U. |
| Pennsylvania | 45% | 47% | May 30 | May 31 | Florida Atlantic U. |
| Wisconsin | 40% | 41% | May 30 | May 31 | Florida Atlantic U. |