Dem
51
GOP
49
Kamala Harris continues to get a lot of good polls, given that she's only been the Democrats' candidate for about a week. Yes, it's possible she's in a honeymoon phase right now, and that her numbers are artificially high. But, again, it's also possible that she's got room to grow her support, whereas Donald Trump probably doesn't.
The question of "northern" vs. "southern" route continues to be an interesting one. The numbers in Michigan and New Hampshire argue for "northern." On the other hand, the numbers in Pennsylvania (not great) and Nevada argue for "southern." (Z)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 47% | 49% | Jul 29 | Jul 30 | PPP |
| Arizona | 49% | 47% | Jul 24 | Jul 28 | Morning Consult |
| Florida | 42% | 49% | Jul 24 | Jul 27 | U. of North Florida |
| Georgia | 47% | 47% | Jul 24 | Jul 28 | Morning Consult |
| Georgia | 48% | 47% | Jul 29 | Jul 30 | PPP |
| Michigan | 53% | 42% | Jul 24 | Jul 28 | Morning Consult |
| North Carolina | 46% | 48% | Jul 24 | Jul 28 | Morning Consult |
| New Hampshire | 50% | 46% | Jul 26 | Jul 28 | Emerson Coll. |
| Nevada | 47% | 45% | Jul 24 | Jul 28 | Morning Consult |
| Pennsylvania | 46% | 50% | Jul 24 | Jul 28 | Morning Consult |
| Pennsylvania | 47% | 48% | Jul 29 | Jul 30 | PPP |
| Wisconsin | 49% | 47% | Jul 24 | Jul 24 | Morning Consult |
| Wisconsin | 49% | 47% | Jul 24 | Jul 28 | Morning Consult |