Dem
51
GOP
49
Sorry, there was a data entry error yesterday—thanks to the readers who gave us a heads-up. The Virginia poll is now correctly input, with Joe Biden up by 3 rather than Donald Trump up by 3. Biden won that state by 10 points in 2020. So, is this: (1) a sign he's losing/lost support, (2) an artifact of Democrats not responding to polls right now (see above), (3) a temporary emotional response to the debate, (4) an outlier, or (5) some combination of the above?
As to Texas, Biden lost that state by 5 points in 2020. So, he's -4 there and -7 in Virginia, as compared to his 2020 numbers. Do with that information as you see fit. (Z)
| State | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Texas | 40% | 49% | Jun 20 | Jul 01 | U. of Houston |
| Virginia | 47% | 44% | Jul 06 | Jul 11 | SoCal Research |