Dem
51
GOP
49
We covered the Emerson and Morning Consult polls above. They generally agree, although Emerson gives Trump a slightly better result. That said, the two houses are 9 points different in Wisconsin. Either they are both pretty far off, or one of them is WAY off. (Z)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 47% | 50% | Aug 25 | Aug 28 | Emerson Coll. |
| Arizona | 48% | 48% | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Morning Consult |
| Georgia | 49% | 47% | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Morning Consult |
| Georgia | 49% | 48% | Aug 25 | Aug 28 | Emerson Coll. |
| Michigan | 49% | 46% | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Morning Consult |
| Michigan | 50% | 47% | Aug 25 | Aug 28 | Emerson Coll. |
| Missouri | 41% | 54% | Aug 08 | Aug 16 | YouGov |
| North Carolina | 48% | 49% | Aug 25 | Aug 28 | Emerson Coll. |
| North Carolina | 49% | 47% | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Morning Consult |
| Nevada | 49% | 45% | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Morning Consult |
| Nevada | 49% | 48% | Aug 25 | Aug 28 | Emerson Coll. |
| Pennsylvania | 48% | 48% | Aug 25 | Aug 28 | Emerson Coll. |
| Pennsylvania | 51% | 47% | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Morning Consult |
| Wisconsin | 48% | 49% | Aug 25 | Aug 28 | Emerson Coll. |
| Wisconsin | 52% | 44% | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Morning Consult |