Dem
51
GOP
49
Realistically, Donald Trump probably cannot survive a loss in Pennsylvania, given what that implies for the rest of the map. He definitely cannot survive a loss in Pennsylvania AND North Carolina. (Z)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Missouri | 41% | 59% | Jul 25 | Aug 22 | Activote |
| North Carolina | 47% | 47% | Aug 19 | Aug 21 | SurveyUSA |
| New York | 58% | 42% | Aug 01 | Aug 21 | Activote |
| Ohio | 44% | 56% | Aug 02 | Aug 22 | Activote |
| Pennsylvania | 51% | 49% | Aug 05 | Aug 22 | Activote |
| Texas | 45% | 50% | Aug 05 | Aug 16 | U. of Houston |
| Utah | 28% | 60% | Aug 02 | Aug 09 | HarrisX |