Dem
51
GOP
49
Ultimately, Kamala Harris probably needs one of the three Sun Belt swing states. At the moment, if you believe Siena, she's in line to take two. And in case you are wondering, if you give Harris and Donald Trump the two states that each are winning here, and you give Michigan/Wisconsin/Minnesota to Harris, and you give Pennsylvania to Trump, then Harris wins the Electoral College with 278 votes to 260.
Point is, if Harris really does win half the "southern route" states, Trump's in trouble. (Z)
| State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 49% | 45% | Aug 08 | Aug 15 | Siena Coll. |
| Georgia | 44% | 51% | Aug 09 | Aug 14 | Siena Coll. |
| North Carolina | 49% | 46% | Aug 09 | Aug 14 | Siena Coll. |
| Nevada | 46% | 48% | Aug 06 | Aug 14 | Siena Coll. |