The fellow who writes up polling results for Suffolk said, yesterday, that Kamala Harris is within "striking distance" in Florida. If so, then she's also within "striking distance" in Texas. With an abortion initiative and a potentially competitive Senate race in the former, and a potentially competitive Senate race in the latter, it's not impossible that Harris really could be competitive in those states. In particular, Donald Trump basically can't win if he doesn't take Florida. So, the Harris campaign might well try to contest the state, even if it is big and expensive.
Regardless of what Harris does, if the Republicans think they have to play defense in those two places, then that's fewer resources for the swing states.
And take a look at the Electoral-vote graphs today. Do you see a trend there? But remember, it's the second one that really matters, not the first one. (Z)
State | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
Arizona | 47% | 44% | Aug 10 | Aug 12 | Morning Consult |
Florida | 42% | 47% | Aug 07 | Aug 11 | Suffolk U. |
Texas | 47% | 53% | Jul 31 | Aug 13 | Activote |