Dem
51
GOP
49
Wow. Good news for Trump here on the whole. We are suspicious of these results. The swing states aren't swinging enough. But Morning Consult is a legitimate pollster that works for Politico and Bloomberg News so we don't think they are cooking the books. But Trump ahead by 8 points in Nevada? Doesn't smell right.
Even more odd is that Morning Consult ran a national poll and it has Biden ahead 44% to 43%. Marist also conducted a national poll and it has Biden ahead 51% to 48%. Could Trump's trial have helped him in the swing states but not nationally? Seems very unlikely.
| State | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | 42% | 49% | Apr 08 | Apr 13 | Morning Consult |
| Georgia | 43% | 49% | Apr 08 | Apr 13 | Morning Consult |
| Idaho | 28% | 63% | Apr 13 | Apr 16 | Civiqs |
| Michigan | 47% | 45% | Apr 08 | Apr 13 | Morning Consult |
| North Carolina | 41% | 51% | Apr 08 | Apr 13 | Morning Consult |
| Nevada | 43% | 51% | Apr 08 | Apr 13 | Morning Consult |
| Oregon | 54% | 34% | Apr 13 | Apr 16 | Civiqs |
| Pennsylvania | 46% | 47% | Apr 08 | Apr 13 | Morning Consult |
| Washington | 54% | 39% | Apr 13 | Apr 16 | Civiqs |
| Wisconsin | 44% | 48% | Apr 08 | Apr 13 | Morning Consult |