Now that the Q1 fundraising numbers are in, it's clear that Democrats in tough districts are comfortably outpacing Republicans in the same situation. Here's the rundown of every person running in a competitive House district who has raised at least $700,000 (* = incumbent):
Candidate | District | PVI | Haul |
Mondaire Jones | NY-17 | D+3 | $1.76M |
Mary Peltola* | AK-AL | R+8 | $1.7M |
Adam Frisch | CO-03 | R+7 | $1.4M |
Matt Cartwright* | PA-08 | R+4 | $1.38M |
Susan Wild* | PA-07 | R+2 | $1.37M |
Josh Riley | NY-19 | EVEN | $1.35M |
Curtis Hertel | MI-07 | R+2 | $1.3M |
Will Rollins | CA-41 | R+3 | $1.2M |
Kirsten Engle | AZ-06 | R+3 | $1.2M |
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez* | WA-03 | R+5 | $1.2M |
John James* | MI-10 | R+3 | $1.1M |
Rudy Salas | CA-22 | D+5 | $1.1M |
Jared Golden* | ME-02 | R+6 | $1.1M |
Angie Craig* | MN-02 | D+1 | $1.0M |
Don Davis* | NC-01 | D+2 | $940,000 |
Pat Ryan* | NY-18 | D+1 | $910.000 |
Lanon Baccam | IA-03 | R+3 | $900,000 |
Yadira Caraveo* | CO-08 | EVEN | $860,000 |
Mike Lawler* | NY-17 | D+3 | $855,000 |
Susie Lee* | NV-03 | D+1 | $850,000 |
Gabe Vasquez* | NM-02 | D+1 | $832,000 |
Adam Gray | CA-13 | D+4 | $827,000 |
Tony Vargas | NE-02 | EVEN | $784,000 |
George Whitesides | CA-27 | D+4 | $768,000 |
Chris DeLuzio* | PA-17 | EVEN | $758,000 |
Mayra Flores | TX-34 | D+9 | $747,000 |
Michelle Steel* | CA-45 | D+2 | $734,000 |
Rob Bresnahan | PA-08 | R+4 | $728,000 |
Andrea Salinas* | OR-06 | D+4 | $717,000 |
Don Bacon* | NE-02 | EVEN | $709,000 |
Derrick Van Orden* | WI-03 | R+4 | $705,000 |
For U.S. Senate races, we tend to take fundraising numbers with a few grains of salt. But for House races, the money is probably more meaningful. First, because a House candidate needs to reach fewer people, in general, so funds go further. Second, because Senate candidates often attract money from all around, which means their takes could give a false impression of enthusiasm. With House candidates, money is more likely to be local, and so to be an indication of enthusiasm among the voters who matter (i.e., the ones who can actually vote for that candidate). Not always true (See: Frisch, Adam), but usually.
In Q1 last year, the situation was basically reversed, with all the biggest hauls going to Republican candidates. What's changed since then? Hmmmm... could it be abortion? Sounds like a pretty good explanation to us. (Z)