Dem 51
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GOP 49
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Vulnerable House Democrats Are Winning the Money Battle with Vulnerable House Republicans

Now that the Q1 fundraising numbers are in, it's clear that Democrats in tough districts are comfortably outpacing Republicans in the same situation. Here's the rundown of every person running in a competitive House district who has raised at least $700,000 (* = incumbent):

Candidate District PVI Haul
Mondaire Jones NY-17 D+3 $1.76M
Mary Peltola* AK-AL R+8 $1.7M
Adam Frisch CO-03 R+7 $1.4M
Matt Cartwright* PA-08 R+4 $1.38M
Susan Wild* PA-07 R+2 $1.37M
Josh Riley NY-19 EVEN $1.35M
Curtis Hertel MI-07 R+2 $1.3M
Will Rollins CA-41 R+3 $1.2M
Kirsten Engle AZ-06 R+3 $1.2M
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez* WA-03 R+5 $1.2M
John James* MI-10 R+3 $1.1M
Rudy Salas CA-22 D+5 $1.1M
Jared Golden* ME-02 R+6 $1.1M
Angie Craig* MN-02 D+1 $1.0M
Don Davis* NC-01 D+2 $940,000
Pat Ryan* NY-18 D+1 $910.000
Lanon Baccam IA-03 R+3 $900,000
Yadira Caraveo* CO-08 EVEN $860,000
Mike Lawler* NY-17 D+3 $855,000
Susie Lee* NV-03 D+1 $850,000
Gabe Vasquez* NM-02 D+1 $832,000
Adam Gray CA-13 D+4 $827,000
Tony Vargas NE-02 EVEN $784,000
George Whitesides CA-27 D+4 $768,000
Chris DeLuzio* PA-17 EVEN $758,000
Mayra Flores TX-34 D+9 $747,000
Michelle Steel* CA-45 D+2 $734,000
Rob Bresnahan PA-08 R+4 $728,000
Andrea Salinas* OR-06 D+4 $717,000
Don Bacon* NE-02 EVEN $709,000
Derrick Van Orden* WI-03 R+4 $705,000

For U.S. Senate races, we tend to take fundraising numbers with a few grains of salt. But for House races, the money is probably more meaningful. First, because a House candidate needs to reach fewer people, in general, so funds go further. Second, because Senate candidates often attract money from all around, which means their takes could give a false impression of enthusiasm. With House candidates, money is more likely to be local, and so to be an indication of enthusiasm among the voters who matter (i.e., the ones who can actually vote for that candidate). Not always true (See: Frisch, Adam), but usually.

In Q1 last year, the situation was basically reversed, with all the biggest hauls going to Republican candidates. What's changed since then? Hmmmm... could it be abortion? Sounds like a pretty good explanation to us. (Z)



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