Dem 51
image description
   
GOP 49
image description

The Runoff Polls Did Quite Well

We collected nine nonpartisan polls for the Georgia runoff, as follows:

Warnock Walker Start End Pollster
51% 48% Dec 04 Dec 04 InsiderAdvantage
49% 47% Nov 30 Nov 30 Patriot Polling
50% 47% Nov 28 Nov 30 SurveyUSA
51% 49% Nov 28 Nov 30 Emerson Coll.
52% 48% Nov 25 Nov 29 SSRS
47% 48% Nov 26 Nov 27 Phillips Academy
50% 50% Nov 23 Nov 26 Frederick Polls
51% 46% Nov 18 Nov 28 U. Mass, Lowell
51% 47% Nov 11 Nov 17 Fabrizio+Impact
50.2% 47.8%     Average

The average of the nine polls put Warnock ahead by 2.4 points. He actually won by 2.8 points. Since the margin of error of most polls is about 3-4 points, we conclude that the pollsters did a good job this time. So maybe when Donald Trump is not personally on the ballot, the polls do fine. (V)



This item appeared on www.electoral-vote.com. Read it Monday through Friday for political and election news, Saturday for answers to reader's questions, and Sunday for letters from readers.

www.electoral-vote.com                     State polls                     All Senate candidates