Note: Updates will be sparse a few more days
due to travel.
Villaraigosa Will Not Run for Governor of California
Permalink
Los Angeles mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (D) has
announced
that he will not run for governor of California in 2010. He had been widely expected
to be a candidate but his polls are way down and unemployment in
Los Angeles is way up, far above the national and state averages.
His personal life is also a mess. His marriage broke up as a result of
his affair with a local television newswoman. In other words, Villaraigosa
clearly realized that he had little chance of winning the Democratic nomination.
The main Democratic contenders now are former governor (and current
Attorney General) Jerry Brown and San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom.
If Sen. Dianne Feinstein runs--an outside possibility--she will become
the instant favorite. On the Republican side, former CEO of eBay, Meg
Whitman is tentatively leading, but an open governor's mansion in the
nation's most populous state could yet attract other candidates.
Democrats Have the Edge in the Ohio Senate Race
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Sen. George Voinovich (R-OH) is retiring, and both parties are gearing
up for a huge fight in this swing state. Two Democrats are slugging it
out for the nomination, Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (the establishment candidate)
and Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner (the insurgent). The Republican
candidate is almost certain to be former representative and former U.S. trade
representative Rob Portman.
A new PPP
poll
shows Fisher leading Portman 41% to 32% and Brunner leading Portman
40% to 32%. While a bloody primary could damage both Democrats, it
could also increase name recognition for the winner, something
both of them could use. A problem Portman is going to have to deal with
no matter which Democrat wins is his close ties to the Bush administration.
Dodd Coming Back in Connecticut
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The popularity of Sen. Chris Dodd (D-CT) had reached an all-time low
but now appears to be
coming back
as local activists are (grudgingly) supporting him again.
There is no attempt to dump him for a primary opponent as there was in
2006 when businessman Ned Lamont defeated Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT)
in the Democratic primary, only to see Lieberman be reelected as an
independent. Dodd has made a big deal about his bill reigning in some of
the credit card companies worst abuses. With Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-MA)
fighting brain cancer, Dodd may play a big role in the upcoming health
care reform battles. Unlike Lieberman, who many Democrats accused of
being a DINO, no one doubts that Dodd, one of the most liberal members
of the Senate, is a Democrat through and through.
Palin May Not Seek Reelection in Alaska
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Politico is
reporting
that Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AK) will not run for reelection in 2010
and that both Democrats and Republicans are lining up to run for
governor. If Palin decides to forego releection, virtually everyone
will assume she is running for President in 2012 as she could easily
be reelected as governor. The problem with being governor is that
Alaska is too far from Iowa and New Hampshire and campaigning there while
living in Wasilla and governing in Juneau would be a logistical nightmare
for her. As a former governor, she would be free to spend long periods of
time in Iowa and New Hampshire without anyone yelling that she was putting
her personal ambitions above her gubernatorial duties.
May Fundraising Totals Posted
Permalink
Swing State Project has
posted
the May totals for the Senate, House, and national committees, as follows:
DCCC |
$3.4 M |
$2.5 M |
$5.0 M |
$6.7 M |
$-1.7M |
DSCC |
$3.5 M |
$2.0 M |
$4.0 M |
$4.2 M |
$-0.2 M |
DNC |
$8.4 M |
$5.3 M |
$12.1 M |
$5.6 M |
$6.5 M |
NRCC |
$3.2 M |
$3.2 M |
$3.7 M |
$4.0 M |
$-0.3 M |
NRSC |
$4.5 M |
$3.5 M |
$3.7 M |
$0 |
$3.7 M |
RNC |
$5.8 M |
$8.7 M |
$21.5 M |
$0 |
$21.5 M |
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