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News from the Votemaster

Is Palin the Best Qualified Potential Veep?

For the first half of this year, whenever John McCain was asked what qualities he would look for in a potential Vice President has always said he wanted the most qualified person in the country should the need arise for that person to become President. This is without a doubt a very strong answer. He was often praised for that answer and sometimes said he was willing to cross party lines if need be to find that person. Now that his choice is known, some people (although not McCain personally) have added it is executive experience that counts, something that neither Barack Obama nor Joe Biden has any of.

Taking executive experience as the benchmark, who might he have chosen? The obvious pool is sitting Republican governors, of whom their are 22, one of whom (Arnold Schwarzenegger) is ineligible because he is foreign born. An interesting question is then how does Sarah Palin rank in executive experience compared to the 21 eligible Republican governors. The answer is given in the table below. She ranks 17th. If executive experience were indeed the criterion McCain really valued most, then Gov. John Hoeven (R-ND) or Gov. Rick Perry (R-TX) would have been the top choices. If he insisted that the job be given to a woman, then Gov. Linda Lingle (R-HI) comes in next.

# Governor St Inaugurated Days   Senator St Inaugurated Days
1 John Hoeven ND Jan. 15, 2000 3,154   Ted Stevens AK Dec. 24, 1968 14,498
2 Rick Perry TX Dec. 21, 2000 2,813   Pete Domenici NM Jan. 3, 1973 13,027
3 Linda Lingle HI Dec. 2, 2002 2,102   Richard Lugar IN Jan. 4, 1977 11,565
4 Tim Pawlenty MN Jan. 6, 2003 2,067   Orrin Hatch UT Jan. 4, 1977 11,565
5 Donald Carcieri RI Jan. 7, 2003 2,066   Thad Cochran MS Dec. 27, 1978 10,843
6 Mike Rounds SD Jan. 7, 2003 2,066   John Warner VA Jan. 2, 1979 10,837
7 Jim Douglas VT Jan. 9, 2003 2,064   Charles Grassley IA Jan. 5, 1981 10,103
8 Sonny Perdue GA Jan. 13, 2003 2,060   Arlen Specter PA Jan. 5, 1981 10,103
9 Mark Sanford SC Jan. 15, 2003 2,058   Mitch McConnell KY Jan. 3, 1985 8,644
10 Bob Riley AL Jan. 21, 2003 2,052   John McCain AZ Jan. 3, 1987 7,914
11 Arnold Schwarzenegger CA Nov. 17, 2003 1,752   Richard Shelby AL Jan. 6, 1987 7,911
12 Haley Barbour MS Jan. 13, 2004 1,695   Kit Bond MO Jan. 6, 1987 7,911
13 Jodi Rell CT July 1, 2004 1,525   Larry Craig ID Jan. 3, 1991 6,453
14 Jon Huntsman UT Jan. 3, 2005 1,339   Judd Gregg NH Jan. 5, 1993 5,720
15 Mitch Daniels IN Jan. 10, 2005 1,332   Robert Bennett UT Jan. 5, 1993 5,720
16 Matt Blunt MO Jan. 10, 2005 1,332   Kay Bailey Hutchison TX June 14, 1993 5,560
17 Dave Heineman NE Jan. 20, 2005 1,322   James Inhofe OK Nov. 17, 1994 5,039
18 Sarah Palin AK Dec. 4, 2006 639   Jon Kyl AZ Jan. 4, 1995 4,991
19 Butch Otter ID Jan. 1, 2007 611   Olympia Snowe ME Jan. 4, 1995 4,991
20 Jim Gibbons NV Jan. 1, 2007 611   Sam Brownback KS Nov. 7, 1996 4,318
21 Charlie Crist FL Jan. 2, 2007 610   Jeff Sessions AL Jan. 7, 1997 4,257
22 Bobby Jindal LA Jan. 14, 2008 233   Wayne Allard CO Jan. 7, 1997 4,257
23           Pat Roberts KS Jan. 7, 1997 4,257
24           Susan Collins ME Jan. 7, 1997 4,257
25           Chuck Hagel NE Jan. 7, 1997 4,257
26           Gordon Smith OR Jan. 7, 1997 4,257
27           Michael Enzi WY Jan. 7, 1997 4,257
28           Michael Crapo ID Jan. 6, 1999 3,528
29           Jim Bunning KY Jan. 6, 1999 3,528
30           George Voinovich OH Jan. 6, 1999 3,528
31           John Ensign NV Jan. 3, 2001 2,800
32           John Cornyn TX Dec. 2, 2002 2,102
33           Lisa Murkowski AK Dec. 20, 2002 2,084
34           Saxby Chambliss GA Jan. 3, 2003 2,070
35           Norm Coleman MN Jan. 7, 2003 2,066
36           John Sununu NH Jan. 7, 2003 2,066
37           Elizabeth Dole NC Jan. 7, 2003 2,066
38           Lindsey Graham SC Jan. 7, 2003 2,066
39           Lamar Alexander TN Jan. 7, 2003 2,066
40           Mel Martinez FL Jan. 3, 2005 1,339
41           Johnny Isakson GA Jan. 3, 2005 1,339
42           David Vitter LA Jan. 3, 2005 1,339
43           Richard Burr NC Jan. 3, 2005 1,339
44           Tom Coburn OK Jan. 3, 2005 1,339
45           Jim DeMint SC Jan. 3, 2005 1,339
46           John Thune SD Jan. 3, 2005 1,339
47           Bob Corker TN Jan. 3, 2007 609
48           John Barrasso WY June 25, 2007 436
49           Roger Wicker MS Dec. 31, 2007 247

Now suppose the experience does not have to be executive (something McCain himself has none of). This opens the pool to the 49 sitting Republican senators at the very least. With 639 days of experience as of today, Palin ranks behind 46 sitting Republican senators. If we consider the pool of eligible Republican governors and Republican senators, there are 62 Republicans who have more experience than she does. And of course, if the pool is expanded to former Republican governors and senators and current and former Republican members of the House, the pool becomes several hundred and it is still likely that Palin would rank near the very bottom of the list in terms of experience.

The data seems to point to the conclusion that McCain really doesn't believe experience is so important a qualification since he skipped over a large number of more experienced Republicans in making his choice.