Sep. 05 Obama 301   McCain 224   Ties 13 Senate: Dem 56   GOP 43   Ties 1 House: Dem 243   GOP 192   Wyoming (3 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 25% John McCain: 62% Source: Mason (Aug 15) 2004: Kerry 29%      Bush 69% 2000: Gore 28%       Bush 69% 1996: Clinton 37%   Dole 50% 1992: Clinton 34%   Bush 40% Wisconsin (10 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 46% John McCain: 41% Source: Rasmussen+Wisconsin (Aug 05) 2004: Kerry 50%      Bush 49% 2000: Gore 49%       Bush 48% 1996: Clinton 49%   Dole 39% 1992: Clinton 41%   Bush 37% West Virginia (5 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 37% John McCain: 45% Source: Rasmussen (Jun 02) 2004: Kerry 43%      Bush 56% 2000: Gore 46%       Bush 52% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 48%   Bush 35% Washington (11 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 52% John McCain: 42% Source: SurveyUSA+Rasmussen (Aug 12) 2004: Kerry 53%      Bush 46% 2000: Gore 50%       Bush 45% 1996: Clinton 50%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 32% Virginia (13 EVs) Tied Barack Obama: 45% John McCain: 45% Source: Insider A+Rasmussen+SurveyUSA (Aug 12) 2004: Kerry 45%      Bush 54% 2000: Gore 45%       Bush 53% 1996: Clinton 45%   Dole 47% 1992: Clinton 41%   Bush 45% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 63% John McCain: 29% Source: SurveyUSA (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 59%      Bush 39% 2000: Gore 51%       Bush 41% 1996: Clinton 53%   Dole 31% 1992: Clinton 46%   Bush 30% Utah (5 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 23% John McCain: 62% Source: Mason (Aug 15) 2004: Kerry 26%      Bush 71% 2000: Gore 27%       Bush 67% 1996: Clinton 33%   Dole 54% 1992: Clinton 25%   Bush 43% Texas (34 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 41% John McCain: 50% Source: Rasmussen (Aug 21) 2004: Kerry 38%      Bush 61% 2000: Gore 38%       Bush 59% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 49% 1992: Clinton 37%   Bush 41% Tennessee (11 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 32% John McCain: 56% Source: Rasmussen (Aug 20) 2004: Kerry 43%      Bush 57% 2000: Gore 47%       Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 48%   Dole 46% 1992: Clinton 47%   Bush 42% South Dakota (3 EVs) Barely Republican Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 47% Source: Rasmussen (Jul 09) 2004: Kerry 38%      Bush 60% 2000: Gore 38%       Bush 60% 1996: Clinton 43%   Dole 47% 1992: Clinton 37%   Bush 41% South Carolina (8 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 40% John McCain: 53% Source: Research 2000 (Jul 23) 2004: Kerry 41%      Bush 58% 2000: Gore 41%       Bush 57% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 50% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 47% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 51% John McCain: 30% Source: Brown U. (Aug 20) 2004: Kerry 60%      Bush 39% 2000: Gore 61%       Bush 32% 1996: Clinton 60%   Dole 27% 1992: Clinton 47%   Bush 29% Pennsylvania (21 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 42% Source: Opinion R+Quinnipia+Rasmussen (Aug 26) 2004: Kerry 51%      Bush 49% 2000: Gore 51%       Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 49%   Dole 40% 1992: Clinton 45%   Bush 36% Oregon (7 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 48% John McCain: 41% Source: Rasmussen+SurveyUSA (Aug 07) 2004: Kerry 52%      Bush 48% 2000: Gore 47%       Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 47%   Dole 39% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 33% Oklahoma (7 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 24% John McCain: 56% Source: Sooner Poll (Jul 23) 2004: Kerry 34%      Bush 66% 2000: Gore 38%       Bush 60% 1996: Clinton 40%   Dole 48% 1992: Clinton 34%   Bush 43% Ohio (20 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 45% Source: Opinion Research (Sep 02) 2004: Kerry 49%      Bush 51% 2000: Gore 46%       Bush 50% 1996: Clinton 47%   Dole 41% 1992: Clinton 40%   Bush 38% North Dakota (3 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 40% Source: DFM Research (Aug 27) 2004: Kerry 36%      Bush 63% 2000: Gore 33%       Bush 61% 1996: Clinton 40%   Dole 47% 1992: Clinton 32%   Bush 44% North Carolina (15 EVs) Barely Republican Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 46% Source: Insider A+Rasmussen (Aug 19) 2004: Kerry 44%      Bush 56% 2000: Gore 43%       Bush 56% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 49% 1992: Clinton 42%   Bush 43% New York (31 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 39% Source: Siena Coll. (Aug 14) 2004: Kerry 58%      Bush 41% 2000: Gore 60%       Bush 35% 1996: Clinton 58%   Dole 30% 1992: Clinton 47%   Bush 29% New Mexico (5 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 50% John McCain: 41% Source: Opinion R+Rasmussen (Aug 26) 2004: Kerry 49%      Bush 50% 2000: Gore 48%       Bush 47% 1996: Clinton 49%   Dole 42% 1992: Clinton 46%   Bush 37% New Jersey (15 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 50% John McCain: 41% Source: Quinnipia+Rasmussen (Aug 10) 2004: Kerry 53%      Bush 47% 2000: Gore 56%       Bush 40% 1996: Clinton 54%   Dole 36% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 41% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 45% John McCain: 44% Source: Rasmussen+ARG (Aug 19) 2004: Kerry 50%      Bush 49% 2000: Gore 47%       Bush 48% 1996: Clinton 50%   Dole 40% 1992: Clinton 39%   Bush 38% Nevada (5 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 44% Source: Opinion R+Research (Aug 26) 2004: Kerry 48%      Bush 51% 2000: Gore 46%       Bush 50% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 43% 1992: Clinton 37%   Bush 35% Nebraska (5 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 32% John McCain: 50% Source: Rasmussen (Jul 28) 2004: Kerry 32%      Bush 67% 2000: Gore 33%       Bush 62% 1996: Clinton 35%   Dole 54% 1992: Clinton 29%   Bush 47% Montana (3 EVs) Barely Republican Barack Obama: 44% John McCain: 45% Source: Rasmussen (Jul 29) 2004: Kerry 39%      Bush 59% 2000: Gore 33%       Bush 58% 1996: Clinton 41%   Dole 44% 1992: Clinton 38%   Bush 35% Missouri (11 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 41% John McCain: 48% Source: Rasmussen (Aug 07) 2004: Kerry 46%      Bush 53% 2000: Gore 47%       Bush 50% 1996: Clinton 48%   Dole 41% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 34% Mississippi (6 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 41% John McCain: 54% Source: Rasmussen (Aug 21) 2004: Kerry 40%      Bush 60% 2000: Gore 41%       Bush 58% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 49% 1992: Clinton 41%   Bush 50% Minnesota (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 53% John McCain: 41% Source: Opinion Research (Sep 02) 2004: Kerry 51%      Bush 48% 2000: Gore 48%       Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 51%   Dole 35% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 32% Michigan (17 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 45% John McCain: 40% Source: EPIC+Selzer (Aug 21) 2004: Kerry 51%      Bush 48% 2000: Gore 51%       Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 39% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 36% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 49% John McCain: 37% Source: Rasmussen+Suffolk U (Aug 05) 2004: Kerry 62%      Bush 37% 2000: Gore 60%       Bush 33% 1996: Clinton 62%   Dole 28% 1992: Clinton 48%   Bush 29% Maryland (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 53% John McCain: 41% Source: Rasmussen (Aug 18) 2004: Kerry 56%      Bush 43% 2000: Gore 57%       Bush 40% 1996: Clinton 54%   Dole 38% 1992: Clinton 50%   Bush 36% Maine (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 49% John McCain: 36% Source: Rasmussen (Aug 12) 2004: Kerry 53%      Bush 45% 2000: Gore 49%       Bush 44% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 31% 1992: Clinton 39%   Bush 30% Louisiana (9 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 38% John McCain: 55% Source: Rasmussen (Aug 17) 2004: Kerry 42%      Bush 57% 2000: Gore 45%       Bush 53% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 40% 1992: Clinton 46%   Bush 41% Kentucky (8 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 37% John McCain: 55% Source: SurveyUSA (Aug 11) 2004: Kerry 40%      Bush 60% 2000: Gore 41%       Bush 56% 1996: Clinton 46%   Dole 45% 1992: Clinton 45%   Bush 41% Kansas (6 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 35% John McCain: 58% Source: SurveyUSA (Aug 20) 2004: Kerry 37%      Bush 62% 2000: Gore 37%       Bush 58% 1996: Clinton 36%   Dole 54% 1992: Clinton 34%   Bush 39% Iowa (7 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 55% John McCain: 40% Source: Opinion Research (Sep 02) 2004: Kerry 49%      Bush 50% 2000: Gore 49%       Bush 48% 1996: Clinton 50%   Dole 40% 1992: Clinton 43%   Bush 37% Indiana (11 EVs) Barely Republican Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 45% Source: Howey (Aug 30) 2004: Kerry 39%      Bush 60% 2000: Gore 41%       Bush 57% 1996: Clinton 42%   Dole 47% 1992: Clinton 37%   Bush 43% Illinois (21 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 53% John McCain: 38% Source: Rasmussen (Aug 12) 2004: Kerry 55%      Bush 45% 2000: Gore 55%       Bush 43% 1996: Clinton 54%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 49%   Bush 34% Idaho (4 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 29% John McCain: 52% Source: Greg Smith (Aug 22) 2004: Kerry 30%      Bush 69% 2000: Gore 28%       Bush 67% 1996: Clinton 34%   Dole 52% 1992: Clinton 28%   Bush 42% Hawaii (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 61% John McCain: 31% Source: SurveyUSA (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 54%      Bush 45% 2000: Gore 56%       Bush 38% 1996: Clinton 57%   Dole 32% 1992: Clinton 48%   Bush 37% Georgia (15 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 50% Source: Rasmussen (Aug 14) 2004: Kerry 41%      Bush 58% 2000: Gore 43%       Bush 55% 1996: Clinton 46%   Dole 47% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 43% Florida (27 EVs) Barely Republican Barack Obama: 45% John McCain: 46% Source: Mason+Quinnipia+ARG (Aug 26) 2004: Kerry 47%      Bush 52% 2000: Gore 48%       Bush 49% 1996: Clinton 48%   Dole 42% 1992: Clinton 39%   Bush 41% Delaware (3 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 50% John McCain: 41% Source: SurveyUSA (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry 53%      Bush 46% 2000: Gore 55%       Bush 42% 1996: Clinton 52%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 44%   Bush 35% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 90% John McCain: 9% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry 90%      Bush 9% 2000: Gore 86%       Bush 9% 1996: Clinton 85%   Dole 9% 1992: Clinton 85%   Bush 9% Connecticut (7 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 51% John McCain: 36% Source: Rasmussen (Jul 31) 2004: Kerry 54%      Bush 44% 2000: Gore 56%       Bush 38% 1996: Clinton 53%   Dole 35% 1992: Clinton 42%   Bush 36% Colorado (9 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 45% John McCain: 43% Source: Opinion R+Suffolk U (Aug 26) 2004: Kerry 47%      Bush 52% 2000: Gore 42%       Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 44%   Dole 46% 1992: Clinton 40%   Bush 36% California (55 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 50% John McCain: 38% Source: Rasmussen+Pub. Poli (Aug 20) 2004: Kerry 55%      Bush 44% 2000: Gore 53%       Bush 42% 1996: Clinton 51%   Dole 38% 1992: Clinton 46%   Bush 33% Arkansas (6 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 37% John McCain: 47% Source: Rasmussen (Jul 14) 2004: Kerry 45%      Bush 54% 2000: Gore 46%       Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 54%   Dole 37% 1992: Clinton 53%   Bush 36% Arizona (10 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 36% John McCain: 44% Source: Arizona S+Mason (Aug 16) 2004: Kerry 45%      Bush 55% 2000: Gore 45%       Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 47%   Dole 44% 1992: Clinton 37%   Bush 39% Alaska (3 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 35% John McCain: 54% Source: Ivan Moore Research (Sep 02) 2004: Kerry 35%      Bush 62% 2000: Gore 28%       Bush 59% 1996: Clinton 33%   Dole 51% 1992: Clinton 30%   Bush 40% Alabama (9 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 36% John McCain: 51% Source: Capital S+Rasmussen (Aug 04) 2004: Kerry 37%      Bush 63% 2000: Gore 42%       Bush 57% 1996: Clinton 43%   Dole 50% 1992: Clinton 41%   Bush 48%   Senate map and races Downloadable polling data Previous report Next report Strong Dem (151) Weak Dem (109) Barely Dem (41) Exactly tied (13) Barely GOP (59) Weak GOP (75) Strong GOP (90) 270 Electoral votes needed to win Map algorithm explained Presidential polls today: AK IN ND Dem pickups (vs. 2004): CO IA NV NM ND OH GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)   WWW www.electoral-vote.com