Jun. 14 Obama 304   McCain 221   Ties 13 Senate: Dem 58   GOP 42   House: Dem 238   GOP 197   Wyoming (3 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 40% John McCain: 53% Source: Research 2000-2 (May 21) 2004: Kerry     29%,   Bush 69% 2000: Gore     28%,   Bush 69% 1996: Clinton 37%,   Dole  50% 1992: Clinton 34%,   Bush 40%   Wisconsin (10 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 48% John McCain: 40% Source: U. of+Rasmu (Jun 10) 2004: Kerry     50%,   Bush 49% 2000: Gore     48%,   Bush 48% 1996: Clinton 49%,   Dole  39% 1992: Clinton 41%,   Bush 37%   West Virginia (5 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 37% John McCain: 45% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 02) 2004: Kerry     43%,   Bush 56% 2000: Gore     46%,   Bush 52% 1996: Clinton 52%,   Dole  37% 1992: Clinton 48%,   Bush 35%   Washington (11 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 55% John McCain: 37% Source: Rasmu+Surve (Jun 09) 2004: Kerry     53%,   Bush 46% 2000: Gore     50%,   Bush 45% 1996: Clinton 50%,   Dole  37% 1992: Clinton 43%,   Bush 32%   Virginia (13 EVs) Tied Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 43% Source: Surve+Virg. (May 18) 2004: Kerry     45%,   Bush 54% 2000: Gore     45%,   Bush 53% 1996: Clinton 45%,   Dole  47% 1992: Clinton 41%,   Bush 45%   Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 63% John McCain: 29% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry     59%,   Bush 39% 2000: Gore     51%,   Bush 41% 1996: Clinton 53%,   Dole  31% 1992: Clinton 46%,   Bush 30%   Utah (5 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 27% John McCain: 62% Source: Dan Jones-7 (May 19) 2004: Kerry     26%,   Bush 71% 2000: Gore     27%,   Bush 67% 1996: Clinton 33%,   Dole  54% 1992: Clinton 25%,   Bush 43%   Texas (34 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 39% John McCain: 52% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 02) 2004: Kerry     38%,   Bush 61% 2000: Gore     38%,   Bush 59% 1996: Clinton 44%,   Dole  49% 1992: Clinton 37%,   Bush 41%   Tennessee (11 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 31% John McCain: 58% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 03) 2004: Kerry     43%,   Bush 57% 2000: Gore     47%,   Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 48%,   Dole  46% 1992: Clinton 47%,   Bush 42%   South Dakota (3 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 34% John McCain: 51% Source: Dakota Wesleyan U.-11 (Apr 03) 2004: Kerry     38%,   Bush 60% 2000: Gore     38%,   Bush 60% 1996: Clinton 43%,   Dole  47% 1992: Clinton 37%,   Bush 41%   South Carolina (8 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 39% John McCain: 48% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 05) 2004: Kerry     41%,   Bush 58% 2000: Gore     41%,   Bush 57% 1996: Clinton 44%,   Dole  50% 1992: Clinton 43%,   Bush 47%   Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 53% John McCain: 38% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry     60%,   Bush 39% 2000: Gore     61%,   Bush 32% 1996: Clinton 60%,   Dole  27% 1992: Clinton 47%,   Bush 29%   Pennsylvania (21 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 42% Source: Rasmu+Surve (May 21) 2004: Kerry     51%,   Bush 49% 2000: Gore     51%,   Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 49%,   Dole  40% 1992: Clinton 45%,   Bush 36%   Oregon (7 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 46% John McCain: 38% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 11) 2004: Kerry     52%,   Bush 48% 2000: Gore     47%,   Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 47%,   Dole  39% 1992: Clinton 43%,   Bush 33%   Oklahoma (7 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 38% John McCain: 52% Source: Research 2000-3 (Jun 11) 2004: Kerry     34%,   Bush 66% 2000: Gore     38%,   Bush 60% 1996: Clinton 40%,   Dole  48% 1992: Clinton 34%,   Bush 43%   Ohio (20 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 44% John McCain: 43% Source: Surve+Quinn+Rasmu (May 18) 2004: Kerry     49%,   Bush 51% 2000: Gore     46%,   Bush 50% 1996: Clinton 47%,   Dole  41% 1992: Clinton 40%,   Bush 38%   North Dakota (3 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 38% John McCain: 44% Source: Dakota Wesleyan U.-11 (Apr 03) 2004: Kerry     36%,   Bush 63% 2000: Gore     33%,   Bush 61% 1996: Clinton 40%,   Dole  47% 1992: Clinton 32%,   Bush 44%   North Carolina (15 EVs) Barely Republican Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 45% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 10) 2004: Kerry     44%,   Bush 56% 2000: Gore     43%,   Bush 56% 1996: Clinton 44%,   Dole  49% 1992: Clinton 42%,   Bush 43%   New York (31 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 50% John McCain: 36% Source: Quinnipiac U.-6 (Jun 08) 2004: Kerry     58%,   Bush 41% 2000: Gore     60%,   Bush 35% 1996: Clinton 58%,   Dole  30% 1992: Clinton 47%,   Bush 29%   New Mexico (5 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 43% Source: Surve+Rasmu (May 18) 2004: Kerry     49%,   Bush 50% 2000: Gore     48%,   Bush 47% 1996: Clinton 49%,   Dole  42% 1992: Clinton 46%,   Bush 37%   New Jersey (15 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 39% Source: Quinn+Rasmu (Jun 08) 2004: Kerry     53%,   Bush 47% 2000: Gore     56%,   Bush 40% 1996: Clinton 54%,   Dole  36% 1992: Clinton 43%,   Bush 41%   New Hampshire (4 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 48% John McCain: 43% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 21) 2004: Kerry     50%,   Bush 49% 2000: Gore     47%,   Bush 48% 1996: Clinton 50%,   Dole  40% 1992: Clinton 39%,   Bush 38%   Nevada (5 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 40% John McCain: 46% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 20) 2004: Kerry     48%,   Bush 51% 2000: Gore     46%,   Bush 50% 1996: Clinton 44%,   Dole  43% 1992: Clinton 37%,   Bush 35%   Nebraska (5 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 36% John McCain: 52% Source: Resea+Surve+Rasmu (May 21) 2004: Kerry     32%,   Bush 67% 2000: Gore     33%,   Bush 62% 1996: Clinton 35%,   Dole  54% 1992: Clinton 29%,   Bush 47%   Montana (3 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 39% John McCain: 47% Source: Mason-Dixon-3 (May 21) 2004: Kerry     39%,   Bush 59% 2000: Gore     33%,   Bush 58% 1996: Clinton 41%,   Dole  44% 1992: Clinton 38%,   Bush 35%   Missouri (11 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 43% John McCain: 42% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 03) 2004: Kerry     46%,   Bush 53% 2000: Gore     47%,   Bush 50% 1996: Clinton 48%,   Dole  41% 1992: Clinton 44%,   Bush 34%   Mississippi (6 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 44% John McCain: 50% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 27) 2004: Kerry     40%,   Bush 60% 2000: Gore     41%,   Bush 58% 1996: Clinton 44%,   Dole  49% 1992: Clinton 41%,   Bush 50%   Minnesota (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 52% John McCain: 39% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 11) 2004: Kerry     51%,   Bush 48% 2000: Gore     48%,   Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 51%,   Dole  35% 1992: Clinton 44%,   Bush 32%   Michigan (17 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 45% John McCain: 42% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 09) 2004: Kerry     51%,   Bush 48% 2000: Gore     51%,   Bush 46% 1996: Clinton 52%,   Dole  39% 1992: Clinton 44%,   Bush 36%   Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 53% John McCain: 30% Source: Suffolk U.-3 (Jun 10) 2004: Kerry     62%,   Bush 37% 2000: Gore     60%,   Bush 33% 1996: Clinton 62%,   Dole  28% 1992: Clinton 48%,   Bush 29%   Maryland (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 52% John McCain: 39% Source: Surve+Gonza (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry     56%,   Bush 43% 2000: Gore     57%,   Bush 40% 1996: Clinton 54%,   Dole  38% 1992: Clinton 50%,   Bush 36%   Maine (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 51% John McCain: 38% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 14) 2004: Kerry     53%,   Bush 45% 2000: Gore     49%,   Bush 44% 1996: Clinton 52%,   Dole  31% 1992: Clinton 39%,   Bush 30%   Louisiana (9 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 41% John McCain: 50% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 28) 2004: Kerry     42%,   Bush 57% 2000: Gore     45%,   Bush 53% 1996: Clinton 52%,   Dole  40% 1992: Clinton 46%,   Bush 41%   Kentucky (8 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 32% John McCain: 56% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (May 18) 2004: Kerry     40%,   Bush 60% 2000: Gore     41%,   Bush 56% 1996: Clinton 46%,   Dole  45% 1992: Clinton 45%,   Bush 41%   Kansas (6 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 40% John McCain: 51% Source: Research 2000-3 (Jun 04) 2004: Kerry     37%,   Bush 62% 2000: Gore     37%,   Bush 58% 1996: Clinton 36%,   Dole  54% 1992: Clinton 34%,   Bush 39%   Iowa (7 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 45% John McCain: 38% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 10) 2004: Kerry     49%,   Bush 50% 2000: Gore     49%,   Bush 48% 1996: Clinton 50%,   Dole  40% 1992: Clinton 43%,   Bush 37%   Indiana (11 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 38% John McCain: 47% Source: Ind. Legis. Insight-6 (Jun 01) 2004: Kerry     39%,   Bush 60% 2000: Gore     41%,   Bush 57% 1996: Clinton 42%,   Dole  47% 1992: Clinton 37%,   Bush 43%   Illinois (21 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 60% John McCain: 31% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry     55%,   Bush 45% 2000: Gore     55%,   Bush 43% 1996: Clinton 54%,   Dole  37% 1992: Clinton 49%,   Bush 34%   Idaho (4 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 39% John McCain: 52% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry     30%,   Bush 69% 2000: Gore     28%,   Bush 67% 1996: Clinton 34%,   Dole  52% 1992: Clinton 28%,   Bush 42%   Hawaii (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 61% John McCain: 31% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry     54%,   Bush 45% 2000: Gore     56%,   Bush 38% 1996: Clinton 57%,   Dole  32% 1992: Clinton 48%,   Bush 37%   Georgia (15 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 41% John McCain: 51% Source: Rasmussen-1 (Jun 04) 2004: Kerry     41%,   Bush 58% 2000: Gore     43%,   Bush 55% 1996: Clinton 46%,   Dole  47% 1992: Clinton 44%,   Bush 43%   Florida (27 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 40% John McCain: 50% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 19) 2004: Kerry     47%,   Bush 52% 2000: Gore     48%,   Bush 49% 1996: Clinton 48%,   Dole  42% 1992: Clinton 39%,   Bush 41%   Delaware (3 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 50% John McCain: 41% Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28) 2004: Kerry     53%,   Bush 46% 2000: Gore     55%,   Bush 42% 1996: Clinton 52%,   Dole  37% 1992: Clinton 44%,   Bush 35%   D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 90% John McCain: 9% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry     90%,   Bush 9% 2000: Gore     86%,   Bush 9% 1996: Clinton 85%,   Dole  9% 1992: Clinton 85%,   Bush 9%   Connecticut (7 EVs) Barely Democrat Barack Obama: 47% John McCain: 44% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 29) 2004: Kerry     54%,   Bush 44% 2000: Gore     56%,   Bush 38% 1996: Clinton 53%,   Dole  35% 1992: Clinton 42%,   Bush 36%   Colorado (9 EVs) Weak Democrat Barack Obama: 48% John McCain: 42% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 19) 2004: Kerry     47%,   Bush 52% 2000: Gore     42%,   Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 44%,   Dole  46% 1992: Clinton 40%,   Bush 36%   California (55 EVs) Strong Democrat Barack Obama: 50% John McCain: 39% Source: Four polls (May 27) 2004: Kerry     55%,   Bush 44% 2000: Gore     53%,   Bush 42% 1996: Clinton 51%,   Dole  38% 1992: Clinton 46%,   Bush 33%   Arkansas (6 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 33% John McCain: 57% Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 12) 2004: Kerry     45%,   Bush 54% 2000: Gore     46%,   Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 54%,   Dole  37% 1992: Clinton 53%,   Bush 36%   Arizona (10 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 39% John McCain: 50% Source: Rocky Mtn Poll-9 (May 20) 2004: Kerry     45%,   Bush 55% 2000: Gore     45%,   Bush 51% 1996: Clinton 47%,   Dole  44% 1992: Clinton 37%,   Bush 39%   Alaska (3 EVs) Weak Republican Barack Obama: 42% John McCain: 50% Source: Rasmu+Resea (May 14) 2004: Kerry     35%,   Bush 62% 2000: Gore     28%,   Bush 59% 1996: Clinton 33%,   Dole  51% 1992: Clinton 30%,   Bush 40%   Alabama (9 EVs) Strong Republican Barack Obama: 33% John McCain: 59% Source: Capit+Rasmu (Jun 02) 2004: Kerry     37%,   Bush 63% 2000: Gore     42%,   Bush 57% 1996: Clinton 43%,   Dole  50% 1992: Clinton 41%,   Bush 48%     Senate map and races Downloadable polling data Previous report Next report Strong Dem (168) Weak Dem (76) Barely Dem (60) Exactly tied (13) Barely GOP (15) Weak GOP (53) Strong GOP (153) 270 Electoral votes needed to win Map algorithm explained Presidential polls today: MN OR Dem pickups (vs. 2004): CO IA MO NM OH GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)   WWW www.electoral-vote.com