May 04

Electoral Votes: Obama 264     McCain 263     Ties 11

 
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strong Dem Strong Dem (135)
weak Dem Weak Dem (72)
barely Dem Barely Dem (57)
tied Exactly tied (11)
barely GOP Barely GOP (99)
weak GOP Weak GOP (67)
strong GOP Strong GOP (97)
270 Electoral votes needed to win
Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: NH
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): CO IA  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): NH  

Complete polling data in .csv format.      Data used to produce the map in .csv format.

State Democrat Republican End Len Dem GOP I Pollster
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Apr 24 9 36% 55%   Capital Survey
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 32% 64%   SurveyUSA
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Apr 02 1 37% 55%   Rasmussen
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 4 30% 57%   U. of South Alabama
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 35% 62%   SurveyUSA
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 40% 54%   SurveyUSA
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Jan 17 2 29% 63%   SurveyUSA
Alabama John Kerry George Bush   1 37% 63%   Election 2004
 
Alaska Barack Obama John McCain Apr 07 1 43% 48%   Rasmussen
Alaska Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 48%   SurveyUSA
Alaska John Kerry George Bush   1 35% 62%   Election 2004
 
Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Apr 27 4 38% 47%   Arizona State U.
Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Apr 15 1 37% 57%   Rasmussen
Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Apr 08 10 33% 55%   Northern Arizona U.
Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 51%   SurveyUSA
Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Feb 24 4 38% 49%   Arizona State U.
Arizona John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 55%   Election 2004
 
Arkansas Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 1 30% 59%   Rasmussen
Arkansas Barack Obama John McCain Mar 11 6 27% 43%   Opinion Res.
Arkansas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 33% 53%   SurveyUSA
Arkansas John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 54%   Election 2004
 
California Barack Obama John McCain Apr 16 1 50% 43%   Rasmussen
California Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 50% 43%   SurveyUSA
California Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 54% 40%   SurveyUSA
California Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 8 49% 40%   Public Policy Institute of California
California Barack Obama John McCain Mar 12 1 53% 38%   Rasmussen
California Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 51% 40%   SurveyUSA
California Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 61% 34%   SurveyUSA
California John Kerry George Bush   1 55% 44%   Election 2004
 
Colorado Barack Obama John McCain Apr 16 1 46% 43%   Rasmussen
Colorado Barack Obama John McCain Mar 17 1 46% 46%   Rasmussen
Colorado Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 41%   SurveyUSA
Colorado John Kerry George Bush   1 47% 52%   Election 2004
 
Connecticut Barack Obama John McCain Mar 24 6 52% 35%   Quinnipiac U.
Connecticut Barack Obama John McCain Mar 11 1 50% 38%   Rasmussen
Connecticut Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 55% 34%   SurveyUSA
Connecticut John Kerry George Bush   1 54% 44%   Election 2004
 
D.C. John Kerry George Bush   1 90% 9%   Election 2004
 
Delaware Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 41%   SurveyUSA
Delaware John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 46%   Election 2004
 
Florida Barack Obama John McCain Apr 29 7 43% 44%   Quinnipiac U.
Florida Barack Obama John McCain Apr 10 1 38% 53%   Rasmussen
Florida Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 8 37% 46%   Quinnipiac U.
Florida Barack Obama John McCain Mar 12 1 43% 47%   Rasmussen
Florida Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 45% 47%   SurveyUSA
Florida Barack Obama John McCain Feb 16 1 37% 53%   Rasmussen
Florida John Kerry George Bush   1 47% 52%   Election 2004
 
Georgia Barack Obama John McCain Mar 20 1 40% 53%   Rasmussen
Georgia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 54%   SurveyUSA
Georgia John Kerry George Bush   1 41% 58%   Election 2004
 
Hawaii Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 61% 31%   SurveyUSA
Hawaii John Kerry George Bush   1 54% 45%   Election 2004
 
Idaho Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 52%   SurveyUSA
Idaho John Kerry George Bush   1 30% 69%   Election 2004
 
Illinois Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 60% 31%   SurveyUSA
Illinois John Kerry George Bush   1 55% 45%   Election 2004
 
Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 24 4 43% 51%   Research 2000
Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 23 4 49% 41%   Selzer
Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 16 3 44% 51%   IPFW U.
Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 50%   SurveyUSA
Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 04 2 40% 50%   SurveyUSA
Indiana John Kerry George Bush   1 39% 60%   Election 2004
 
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Apr 23 3 49% 41%   Research 2000
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 49% 42%   SurveyUSA
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 1 46% 42%   Rasmussen
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 44%   SurveyUSA
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 41%   SurveyUSA
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Feb 18 1 44% 41%   Rasmussen
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 51% 41%   SurveyUSA
Iowa John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 50%   Election 2004
 
Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 37% 54%   SurveyUSA
Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 39% 51%   SurveyUSA
Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 50%   SurveyUSA
Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 44% 50%   SurveyUSA
Kansas John Kerry George Bush   1 37% 62%   Election 2004
 
Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 29% 63%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 28% 64%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 33% 54%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Feb 04 2 32% 61%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky John Kerry George Bush   1 40% 60%   Election 2004
 
Louisiana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 09 1 41% 52%   Rasmussen
Louisiana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 09 15 35% 51%   Opinion Res.
Louisiana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 54%   SurveyUSA
Louisiana John Kerry George Bush   1 42% 57%   Election 2004
 
Maine Barack Obama John McCain Apr 01 1 49% 39%   Rasmussen
Maine Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 53% 39%   SurveyUSA
Maine John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 45%   Election 2004
 
Maryland Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 53% 40%   SurveyUSA
Maryland Barack Obama John McCain Mar 01 8 51% 37%   Gonzales Res.
Maryland John Kerry George Bush   1 56% 43%   Election 2004
 
Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Apr 23 1 51% 39%   Rasmussen
Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 48% 46%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 1 49% 42%   Rasmussen
Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 47% 47%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 42%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 48% 46%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts John Kerry George Bush   1 62% 37%   Election 2004
 
Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Apr 08 6 43% 41%   EPIC-MRA
Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Mar 25 1 42% 43%   Rasmussen
Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Mar 10 1 41% 44%   Rasmussen
Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 45%   SurveyUSA
Michigan John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 48%   Election 2004
 
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Apr 22 1 52% 38%   Rasmussen
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 49% 43%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Mar 19 1 47% 43%   Rasmussen
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 46% 47%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 42%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 16 1 53% 38%   Rasmussen
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 55% 40%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 48%   Election 2004
 
Mississippi Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 54%   SurveyUSA
Mississippi John Kerry George Bush   1 40% 60%   Election 2004
 
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 42% 50%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Mar 24 1 38% 53%   Rasmussen
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 39% 53%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 48%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 49% 43%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Feb 12 1 40% 42%   Rasmussen
Missouri John Kerry George Bush   1 46% 53%   Election 2004
 
Montana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 06 1 43% 48%   Rasmussen
Montana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 47%   SurveyUSA
Montana John Kerry George Bush   1 39% 59%   Election 2004
 
Nebraska Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 45%   SurveyUSA
Nebraska John Kerry George Bush   1 32% 67%   Election 2004
 
Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Apr 21 1 43% 48%   Rasmussen
Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Mar 19 1 45% 41%   Rasmussen
Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 41%   SurveyUSA
Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Feb 12 1 50% 38%   Rasmussen
Nevada John Kerry George Bush   1 48% 51%   Election 2004
 
New Hampshire Barack Obama John McCain Apr 30 1 41% 51%   Rasmussen
New Hampshire Barack Obama John McCain Apr 30 6 43% 49%   U. of New Hampshire
New Hampshire Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 1 43% 46%   Rasmussen
New Hampshire Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 44%   SurveyUSA
New Hampshire John Kerry George Bush   1 50% 49%   Election 2004
 
New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Apr 28 5 56% 32%   Monmouth U.
New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 1 45% 46%   Rasmussen
New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Mar 30 7 47% 42%   Fairleigh Dickinson U.
New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Feb 27 1 43% 45%   Rasmussen
New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 43%   SurveyUSA
New Jersey John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 47%   Election 2004
 
New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 44% 50%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Apr 08 1 45% 42%   Rasmussen
New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 51% 45%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 43%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Feb 18 2 44% 44%   Rasmussen
New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 55% 40%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 50%   Election 2004
 
New York Barack Obama John McCain May 01 1 52% 35%   Rasmussen
New York Barack Obama John McCain Apr 15 2 47% 39%   Quinnipiac U.
New York Barack Obama John McCain Apr 16 4 45% 40%   Siena Coll.
New York Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 52% 43%   SurveyUSA
New York Barack Obama John McCain Apr 08 6 46% 48%   Marist Coll.
New York Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 3 49% 38%   Quinnipiac U.
New York Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 52% 44%   SurveyUSA
New York Barack Obama John McCain Mar 11 1 51% 38%   Rasmussen
New York Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 52% 38%   SurveyUSA
New York Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 57% 36%   SurveyUSA
New York John Kerry George Bush   1 58% 41%   Election 2004
 
North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Apr 10 1 47% 47%   Rasmussen
North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Apr 10 2 39% 48%   Tel Opinion Research
North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Mar 20 1 42% 51%   Rasmussen
North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 45% 47%   SurveyUSA
North Carolina John Kerry George Bush   1 44% 56%   Election 2004
 
North Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Apr 03 11 38% 44%   Dakota Wesleyan U.
North Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 42%   SurveyUSA
North Dakota John Kerry George Bush   1 36% 63%   Election 2004
 
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Apr 29 7 42% 43%   Quinnipiac U.
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 45% 47%   SurveyUSA
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Apr 08 1 40% 47%   Rasmussen
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 8 43% 42%   Quinnipiac U.
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 43% 50%   SurveyUSA
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Mar 13 1 40% 46%   Rasmussen
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 40%   SurveyUSA
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 47% 44%   SurveyUSA
Ohio John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 51%   Election 2004
 
Oklahoma Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 34% 57%   SurveyUSA
Oklahoma John Kerry George Bush   1 34% 66%   Election 2004
 
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 51% 42%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Mar 26 1 48% 42%   Rasmussen
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 41%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 41%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 48% 47%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Feb 13 1 49% 40%   Rasmussen
Oregon John Kerry George Bush   1 52% 48%   Election 2004
 
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Apr 29 7 47% 38%   Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Apr 24 1 43% 44%   Rasmussen
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Apr 09 1 47% 39%   Rasmussen
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 8 43% 39%   Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Mar 10 1 43% 44%   Rasmussen
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Mar 10 6 41% 45%   Susquehanna Polling
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 47%   SurveyUSA
Pennsylvania John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 49%   Election 2004
 
Rhode Island Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 53% 38%   SurveyUSA
Rhode Island John Kerry George Bush   1 60% 39%   Election 2004
 
South Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 45% 48%   SurveyUSA
South Carolina John Kerry George Bush   1 41% 58%   Election 2004
 
South Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Apr 03 11 34% 51%   Dakota Wesleyan U.
South Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Mar 04 1 38% 48%   Rasmussen
South Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 47%   SurveyUSA
South Dakota John Kerry George Bush   1 38% 60%   Election 2004
 
Tennessee Barack Obama John McCain Apr 03 1 31% 58%   Rasmussen
Tennessee Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 38% 54%   SurveyUSA
Tennessee John Kerry George Bush   1 43% 57%   Election 2004
 
Texas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 47%   SurveyUSA
Texas John Kerry George Bush   1 38% 61%   Election 2004
 
Utah Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 50%   SurveyUSA
Utah John Kerry George Bush   1 26% 71%   Election 2004
 
Vermont Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 63% 29%   SurveyUSA
Vermont John Kerry George Bush   1 59% 39%   Election 2004
 
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 44% 52%   SurveyUSA
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 1 41% 52%   Rasmussen
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 48% 47%   SurveyUSA
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 47% 47%   SurveyUSA
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 19 1 44% 49%   Rasmussen
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 51% 45%   SurveyUSA
Virginia John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 54%   Election 2004
 
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Apr 16 3 53% 40%   SurveyUSA
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 1 48% 43%   Rasmussen
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Mar 20 3 45% 39%   Elway Poll
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 52% 41%   SurveyUSA
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 1 44% 45%   Rasmussen
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 52% 38%   SurveyUSA
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Feb 04 2 55% 38%   SurveyUSA
Washington John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 46%   Election 2004
 
West Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 35% 53%   SurveyUSA
West Virginia John Kerry George Bush   1 43% 56%   Election 2004
 
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Apr 24 10 47% 43%   U. of Wisconsin
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 49% 44%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Apr 05 12 46% 42%   St. Norbert Coll.
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Mar 26 1 46% 48%   Rasmussen
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 48% 44%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 51% 40%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Feb 21 1 44% 43%   Rasmussen
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 52% 42%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin John Kerry George Bush   1 50% 49%   Election 2004
 
Wyoming Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 35% 54%   SurveyUSA
Wyoming John Kerry George Bush   1 29% 69%   Election 2004