Mar. 28 |
Electoral Votes: Obama 228 McCain 301 Ties 9 |
|
|
| Strong Dem (142) |
| Weak Dem (33) |
| Barely Dem (53) |
| Exactly tied (9) |
| Barely GOP (131) |
| Weak GOP (55) |
| Strong GOP (115) |
270 Electoral votes needed to win |
Map algorithm explained |
|
Presidential polls today: |
CA CT OR |
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): |
IA NV NM ND VA |
|
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): |
MI NH NJ PA |
|
Polling data in .csv format. The format is:
Day#, Length-of-poll, State, EVs, Dem, GOP, Ind, Date, , , , , , , , Pollster-length
Alabama |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
35% |
62% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Alabama |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
40% |
54% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Alabama |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Jan 17 |
2 |
29% |
63% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Alabama |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
37% |
63% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Alaska |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
43% |
48% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Alaska |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
35% |
62% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Arizona |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
39% |
51% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Arizona |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
45% |
55% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Arkansas |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 18 |
1 |
30% |
59% |
|
Rasmussen |
Arkansas |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 11 |
6 |
27% |
43% |
|
Opinion Res. |
Arkansas |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
33% |
53% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Arkansas |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
45% |
54% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
California |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
54% |
40% |
|
SurveyUSA |
California |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 18 |
8 |
49% |
40% |
|
Public Policy Institute of California |
California |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 12 |
1 |
53% |
38% |
|
Rasmussen |
California |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
51% |
40% |
|
SurveyUSA |
California |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
61% |
34% |
|
SurveyUSA |
California |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
55% |
44% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Colorado |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 17 |
1 |
46% |
46% |
|
Rasmussen |
Colorado |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
50% |
41% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Colorado |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
47% |
52% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Connecticut |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 24 |
6 |
52% |
35% |
|
Quinnipiac U. |
Connecticut |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 11 |
1 |
50% |
38% |
|
Rasmussen |
Connecticut |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
55% |
34% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Connecticut |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
54% |
44% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
D.C. |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
90% |
9% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Delaware |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
50% |
41% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Delaware |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
53% |
46% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Florida |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 12 |
1 |
43% |
47% |
|
Rasmussen |
Florida |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
45% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Florida |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 16 |
1 |
37% |
53% |
|
Rasmussen |
Florida |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
47% |
52% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Georgia |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 20 |
1 |
40% |
53% |
|
Rasmussen |
Georgia |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
41% |
54% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Georgia |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
41% |
58% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Hawaii |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
61% |
31% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Hawaii |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
54% |
45% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Idaho |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
39% |
52% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Idaho |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
30% |
69% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Illinois |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
60% |
31% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Illinois |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
55% |
45% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Indiana |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
41% |
50% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Indiana |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 04 |
2 |
40% |
50% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Indiana |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
39% |
60% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Iowa |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
50% |
44% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Iowa |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
50% |
41% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Iowa |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 18 |
1 |
44% |
41% |
|
Rasmussen |
Iowa |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
51% |
41% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Iowa |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
49% |
50% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Kansas |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
39% |
51% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Kansas |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
41% |
50% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Kansas |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
44% |
50% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Kansas |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
37% |
62% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Kentucky |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
28% |
64% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Kentucky |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
33% |
54% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Kentucky |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 04 |
2 |
32% |
61% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Kentucky |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
40% |
60% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Louisiana |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
39% |
54% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Louisiana |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
42% |
57% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Maine |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
53% |
39% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Maine |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
53% |
45% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Maryland |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
53% |
40% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Maryland |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 01 |
8 |
51% |
37% |
|
Gonzales Res. |
Maryland |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
56% |
43% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Massachusetts |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 18 |
1 |
49% |
42% |
|
Rasmussen |
Massachusetts |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
47% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Massachusetts |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
49% |
42% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Massachusetts |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
48% |
46% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Massachusetts |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
62% |
37% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Michigan |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 10 |
1 |
41% |
44% |
|
Rasmussen |
Michigan |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
46% |
45% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Michigan |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
51% |
48% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Minnesota |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 19 |
1 |
47% |
43% |
|
Rasmussen |
Minnesota |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
46% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Minnesota |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
49% |
42% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Minnesota |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 16 |
1 |
53% |
38% |
|
Rasmussen |
Minnesota |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
55% |
40% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Minnesota |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
51% |
48% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Mississippi |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
41% |
54% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Mississippi |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
40% |
60% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Missouri |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 24 |
1 |
38% |
53% |
|
Rasmussen |
Missouri |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
39% |
53% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Missouri |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
42% |
48% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Missouri |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
49% |
43% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Missouri |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 12 |
1 |
40% |
42% |
|
Rasmussen |
Missouri |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
46% |
53% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Montana |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
39% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Montana |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
39% |
59% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Nebraska |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
42% |
45% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Nebraska |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
32% |
67% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Nevada |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 19 |
1 |
45% |
41% |
|
Rasmussen |
Nevada |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
46% |
41% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Nevada |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 12 |
1 |
50% |
38% |
|
Rasmussen |
Nevada |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
48% |
51% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
New Hampshire |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
1 |
43% |
46% |
|
Rasmussen |
New Hampshire |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
46% |
44% |
|
SurveyUSA |
New Hampshire |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
50% |
49% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
New Jersey |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 27 |
1 |
43% |
45% |
|
Rasmussen |
New Jersey |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
43% |
43% |
|
SurveyUSA |
New Jersey |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
53% |
47% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
New Mexico |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
51% |
45% |
|
SurveyUSA |
New Mexico |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
50% |
43% |
|
SurveyUSA |
New Mexico |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 18 |
2 |
44% |
44% |
|
Rasmussen |
New Mexico |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
55% |
40% |
|
SurveyUSA |
New Mexico |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
49% |
50% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
New York |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 18 |
3 |
49% |
38% |
|
Quinnipiac U. |
New York |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
52% |
44% |
|
SurveyUSA |
New York |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 11 |
1 |
51% |
38% |
|
Rasmussen |
New York |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
52% |
38% |
|
SurveyUSA |
New York |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
57% |
36% |
|
SurveyUSA |
New York |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
58% |
41% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
North Carolina |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 20 |
1 |
42% |
51% |
|
Rasmussen |
North Carolina |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
45% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
North Carolina |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
44% |
56% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
North Dakota |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
46% |
42% |
|
SurveyUSA |
North Dakota |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
36% |
63% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Ohio |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
43% |
50% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Ohio |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 13 |
1 |
40% |
46% |
|
Rasmussen |
Ohio |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
50% |
40% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Ohio |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
47% |
44% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Ohio |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
49% |
51% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Oklahoma |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
34% |
57% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Oklahoma |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
34% |
66% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Oregon |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 26 |
1 |
48% |
42% |
|
Rasmussen |
Oregon |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
50% |
41% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Oregon |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
49% |
41% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Oregon |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
48% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Oregon |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 13 |
1 |
49% |
40% |
|
Rasmussen |
Oregon |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
52% |
48% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Pennsylvania |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 10 |
1 |
43% |
44% |
|
Rasmussen |
Pennsylvania |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 10 |
6 |
41% |
45% |
|
Susquehanna Polling |
Pennsylvania |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
42% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Pennsylvania |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
51% |
49% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Rhode Island |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
53% |
38% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Rhode Island |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
60% |
39% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
South Carolina |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
45% |
48% |
|
SurveyUSA |
South Carolina |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
41% |
58% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
South Dakota |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 04 |
1 |
38% |
48% |
|
Rasmussen |
South Dakota |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
43% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
South Dakota |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
38% |
60% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Tennessee |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
38% |
54% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Tennessee |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
43% |
57% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Texas |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
46% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Texas |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
38% |
61% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Utah |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
39% |
50% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Utah |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
26% |
71% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Vermont |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
63% |
29% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Vermont |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
59% |
39% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Virginia |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
48% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Virginia |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
47% |
47% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Virginia |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 19 |
1 |
44% |
49% |
|
Rasmussen |
Virginia |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
51% |
45% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Virginia |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
45% |
54% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Washington |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 20 |
3 |
45% |
39% |
|
Elway Poll |
Washington |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
52% |
41% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Washington |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
1 |
44% |
45% |
|
Rasmussen |
Washington |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
52% |
38% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Washington |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 04 |
2 |
55% |
38% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Washington |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
53% |
46% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
West Virginia |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
35% |
53% |
|
SurveyUSA |
West Virginia |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
43% |
56% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Wisconsin |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Mar 16 |
3 |
48% |
44% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Wisconsin |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
51% |
40% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Wisconsin |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 21 |
1 |
44% |
43% |
|
Rasmussen |
Wisconsin |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 17 |
3 |
52% |
42% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Wisconsin |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
50% |
49% |
|
Election 2004 |
|
Wyoming |
Barack Obama |
John McCain |
Feb 28 |
3 |
35% |
54% |
|
SurveyUSA |
Wyoming |
John Kerry |
George Bush |
|
1 |
29% |
69% |
|
Election 2004 |
|