Apr. 05

Electoral Votes: Obama 261     McCain 268     Ties 9

 
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strong Dem Strong Dem (142)
weak Dem Weak Dem (33)
barely Dem Barely Dem (86)
tied Exactly tied (9)
barely GOP Barely GOP (78)
weak GOP Weak GOP (62)
strong GOP Strong GOP (128)
270 Electoral votes needed to win
Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: ME
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): IA NV NM ND OH  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): MI NH WI  

Polling data in .csv format. The format is: Day#, Length-of-poll, State, EVs, Dem, GOP, Ind, Date, , , , , , , , Pollster-length

State Democrat Republican End Len Dem GOP I Pollster
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 4 30% 57%   U. of South Alabama
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 35% 62%   SurveyUSA
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 40% 54%   SurveyUSA
Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Jan 17 2 29% 63%   SurveyUSA
Alabama John Kerry George Bush   1 37% 63%   Election 2004
 
Alaska Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 48%   SurveyUSA
Alaska John Kerry George Bush   1 35% 62%   Election 2004
 
Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 51%   SurveyUSA
Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Feb 24 4 38% 49%   Arizona State U.
Arizona John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 55%   Election 2004
 
Arkansas Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 1 30% 59%   Rasmussen
Arkansas Barack Obama John McCain Mar 11 6 27% 43%   Opinion Res.
Arkansas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 33% 53%   SurveyUSA
Arkansas John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 54%   Election 2004
 
California Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 54% 40%   SurveyUSA
California Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 8 49% 40%   Public Policy Institute of California
California Barack Obama John McCain Mar 12 1 53% 38%   Rasmussen
California Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 51% 40%   SurveyUSA
California Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 61% 34%   SurveyUSA
California John Kerry George Bush   1 55% 44%   Election 2004
 
Colorado Barack Obama John McCain Mar 17 1 46% 46%   Rasmussen
Colorado Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 41%   SurveyUSA
Colorado John Kerry George Bush   1 47% 52%   Election 2004
 
Connecticut Barack Obama John McCain Mar 24 6 52% 35%   Quinnipiac U.
Connecticut Barack Obama John McCain Mar 11 1 50% 38%   Rasmussen
Connecticut Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 55% 34%   SurveyUSA
Connecticut John Kerry George Bush   1 54% 44%   Election 2004
 
D.C. John Kerry George Bush   1 90% 9%   Election 2004
 
Delaware Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 41%   SurveyUSA
Delaware John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 46%   Election 2004
 
Florida Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 8 37% 46%   Quinnipiac U.
Florida Barack Obama John McCain Mar 12 1 43% 47%   Rasmussen
Florida Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 45% 47%   SurveyUSA
Florida Barack Obama John McCain Feb 16 1 37% 53%   Rasmussen
Florida John Kerry George Bush   1 47% 52%   Election 2004
 
Georgia Barack Obama John McCain Mar 20 1 40% 53%   Rasmussen
Georgia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 54%   SurveyUSA
Georgia John Kerry George Bush   1 41% 58%   Election 2004
 
Hawaii Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 61% 31%   SurveyUSA
Hawaii John Kerry George Bush   1 54% 45%   Election 2004
 
Idaho Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 52%   SurveyUSA
Idaho John Kerry George Bush   1 30% 69%   Election 2004
 
Illinois Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 60% 31%   SurveyUSA
Illinois John Kerry George Bush   1 55% 45%   Election 2004
 
Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 50%   SurveyUSA
Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 04 2 40% 50%   SurveyUSA
Indiana John Kerry George Bush   1 39% 60%   Election 2004
 
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 44%   SurveyUSA
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 41%   SurveyUSA
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Feb 18 1 44% 41%   Rasmussen
Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 51% 41%   SurveyUSA
Iowa John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 50%   Election 2004
 
Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 39% 51%   SurveyUSA
Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 50%   SurveyUSA
Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 44% 50%   SurveyUSA
Kansas John Kerry George Bush   1 37% 62%   Election 2004
 
Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 28% 64%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 33% 54%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Feb 04 2 32% 61%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky John Kerry George Bush   1 40% 60%   Election 2004
 
Louisiana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 54%   SurveyUSA
Louisiana John Kerry George Bush   1 42% 57%   Election 2004
 
Maine Barack Obama John McCain Apr 01 1 49% 39%   Rasmussen
Maine Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 53% 39%   SurveyUSA
Maine John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 45%   Election 2004
 
Maryland Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 53% 40%   SurveyUSA
Maryland Barack Obama John McCain Mar 01 8 51% 37%   Gonzales Res.
Maryland John Kerry George Bush   1 56% 43%   Election 2004
 
Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 1 49% 42%   Rasmussen
Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 47% 47%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 42%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 48% 46%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts John Kerry George Bush   1 62% 37%   Election 2004
 
Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Mar 25 1 42% 43%   Rasmussen
Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Mar 10 1 41% 44%   Rasmussen
Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 45%   SurveyUSA
Michigan John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 48%   Election 2004
 
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Mar 19 1 47% 43%   Rasmussen
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 46% 47%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 42%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 16 1 53% 38%   Rasmussen
Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 55% 40%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 48%   Election 2004
 
Mississippi Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 54%   SurveyUSA
Mississippi John Kerry George Bush   1 40% 60%   Election 2004
 
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Mar 24 1 38% 53%   Rasmussen
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 39% 53%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 48%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 49% 43%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Feb 12 1 40% 42%   Rasmussen
Missouri John Kerry George Bush   1 46% 53%   Election 2004
 
Montana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 47%   SurveyUSA
Montana John Kerry George Bush   1 39% 59%   Election 2004
 
Nebraska Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 45%   SurveyUSA
Nebraska John Kerry George Bush   1 32% 67%   Election 2004
 
Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Mar 19 1 45% 41%   Rasmussen
Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 41%   SurveyUSA
Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Feb 12 1 50% 38%   Rasmussen
Nevada John Kerry George Bush   1 48% 51%   Election 2004
 
New Hampshire Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 1 43% 46%   Rasmussen
New Hampshire Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 44%   SurveyUSA
New Hampshire John Kerry George Bush   1 50% 49%   Election 2004
 
New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 1 45% 46%   Rasmussen
New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Mar 30 7 47% 42%   Fairleigh Dickinson U.
New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Feb 27 1 43% 45%   Rasmussen
New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 43%   SurveyUSA
New Jersey John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 47%   Election 2004
 
New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 51% 45%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 43%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Feb 18 2 44% 44%   Rasmussen
New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 55% 40%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 50%   Election 2004
 
New York Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 3 49% 38%   Quinnipiac U.
New York Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 52% 44%   SurveyUSA
New York Barack Obama John McCain Mar 11 1 51% 38%   Rasmussen
New York Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 52% 38%   SurveyUSA
New York Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 57% 36%   SurveyUSA
New York John Kerry George Bush   1 58% 41%   Election 2004
 
North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Mar 20 1 42% 51%   Rasmussen
North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 45% 47%   SurveyUSA
North Carolina John Kerry George Bush   1 44% 56%   Election 2004
 
North Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 42%   SurveyUSA
North Dakota John Kerry George Bush   1 36% 63%   Election 2004
 
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 8 43% 42%   Quinnipiac U.
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 43% 50%   SurveyUSA
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Mar 13 1 40% 46%   Rasmussen
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 40%   SurveyUSA
Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 47% 44%   SurveyUSA
Ohio John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 51%   Election 2004
 
Oklahoma Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 34% 57%   SurveyUSA
Oklahoma John Kerry George Bush   1 34% 66%   Election 2004
 
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Mar 26 1 48% 42%   Rasmussen
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 41%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 41%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 48% 47%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Feb 13 1 49% 40%   Rasmussen
Oregon John Kerry George Bush   1 52% 48%   Election 2004
 
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 8 43% 39%   Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Mar 10 1 43% 44%   Rasmussen
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Mar 10 6 41% 45%   Susquehanna Polling
Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 47%   SurveyUSA
Pennsylvania John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 49%   Election 2004
 
Rhode Island Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 53% 38%   SurveyUSA
Rhode Island John Kerry George Bush   1 60% 39%   Election 2004
 
South Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 45% 48%   SurveyUSA
South Carolina John Kerry George Bush   1 41% 58%   Election 2004
 
South Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Mar 04 1 38% 48%   Rasmussen
South Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 47%   SurveyUSA
South Dakota John Kerry George Bush   1 38% 60%   Election 2004
 
Tennessee Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 38% 54%   SurveyUSA
Tennessee John Kerry George Bush   1 43% 57%   Election 2004
 
Texas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 47%   SurveyUSA
Texas John Kerry George Bush   1 38% 61%   Election 2004
 
Utah Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 50%   SurveyUSA
Utah John Kerry George Bush   1 26% 71%   Election 2004
 
Vermont Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 63% 29%   SurveyUSA
Vermont John Kerry George Bush   1 59% 39%   Election 2004
 
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 1 41% 52%   Rasmussen
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 48% 47%   SurveyUSA
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 47% 47%   SurveyUSA
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 19 1 44% 49%   Rasmussen
Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 51% 45%   SurveyUSA
Virginia John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 54%   Election 2004
 
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 1 48% 43%   Rasmussen
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Mar 20 3 45% 39%   Elway Poll
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 52% 41%   SurveyUSA
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 1 44% 45%   Rasmussen
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 52% 38%   SurveyUSA
Washington Barack Obama John McCain Feb 04 2 55% 38%   SurveyUSA
Washington John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 46%   Election 2004
 
West Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 35% 53%   SurveyUSA
West Virginia John Kerry George Bush   1 43% 56%   Election 2004
 
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Mar 26 1 46% 48%   Rasmussen
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 48% 44%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 51% 40%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Feb 21 1 44% 43%   Rasmussen
Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 52% 42%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin John Kerry George Bush   1 50% 49%   Election 2004
 
Wyoming Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 35% 54%   SurveyUSA
Wyoming John Kerry George Bush   1 29% 69%   Election 2004