May 19

Electoral Votes: Clinton 284     McCain 237     Ties 17

 
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strong Dem Strong Dem (136)
weak Dem Weak Dem (126)
barely Dem Barely Dem (22)
tied Exactly tied (17)
barely GOP Barely GOP (47)
weak GOP Weak GOP (45)
strong GOP Strong GOP (145)
270 Electoral votes needed to win
Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: AK MN NE NM
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): AR FL NM OH WV  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): NH WI  

Complete polling data in .csv format.      Data used to produce the map in .csv format.

State Democrat Republican End Len Dem GOP I Pollster
Alabama Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 24 9 36% 55%   Capital Survey
Alabama Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 34% 60%   SurveyUSA
Alabama Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 02 1 40% 51%   Rasmussen
Alabama Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 27 4 30% 52%   U. of South Alabama
Alabama Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 38% 56%   SurveyUSA
Alabama Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 51%   SurveyUSA
Alabama Hillary Clinton John McCain Jan 17 2 37% 58%   SurveyUSA
Alabama John Kerry George Bush   1 37% 63%   Election 2004
 
Alaska Hillary Clinton John McCain May 14 1 36% 53%   Rasmussen
Alaska Hillary Clinton John McCain May 14 3 37% 55%   Research 2000
Alaska Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 07 1 32% 57%   Rasmussen
Alaska Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 34% 56%   SurveyUSA
Alaska John Kerry George Bush   1 35% 62%   Election 2004
 
Arizona Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 27 4 37% 53%   Arizona State U.
Arizona Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 15 1 32% 60%   Rasmussen
Arizona Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 08 10 34% 56%   Northern Arizona U.
Arizona Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 54%   SurveyUSA
Arizona Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 24 4 33% 57%   Arizona State U.
Arizona John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 55%   Election 2004
 
Arkansas Hillary Clinton John McCain May 12 1 53% 39%   Rasmussen
Arkansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 18 1 43% 50%   Rasmussen
Arkansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 11 6 51% 36%   Opinion Research
Arkansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 51% 40%   SurveyUSA
Arkansas John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 54%   Election 2004
 
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 16 1 47% 42%   Rasmussen
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 53% 40%   SurveyUSA
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 56% 38%   SurveyUSA
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 18 8 46% 43%   Public Policy Inst. of California
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 12 1 46% 39%   Rasmussen
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 40%   SurveyUSA
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 58% 35%   SurveyUSA
California John Kerry George Bush   1 55% 44%   Election 2004
 
Colorado Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 16 1 36% 50%   Rasmussen
Colorado Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 17 1 38% 52%   Rasmussen
Colorado Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 48%   SurveyUSA
Colorado John Kerry George Bush   1 47% 52%   Election 2004
 
Connecticut Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 24 6 45% 42%   Quinnipiac U.
Connecticut Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 11 1 47% 44%   Rasmussen
Connecticut Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 40%   SurveyUSA
Connecticut John Kerry George Bush   1 54% 44%   Election 2004
 
D.C. John Kerry George Bush   1 90% 9%   Election 2004
 
Delaware Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 41%   SurveyUSA
Delaware John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 46%   Election 2004
 
Florida Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 29 7 49% 41%   Quinnipiac U.
Florida Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 10 1 45% 44%   Rasmussen
Florida Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 31 8 44% 42%   Quinnipiac U.
Florida Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 12 1 40% 47%   Rasmussen
Florida Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 51% 42%   SurveyUSA
Florida Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 16 1 43% 49%   Rasmussen
Florida John Kerry George Bush   1 47% 52%   Election 2004
 
Georgia Hillary Clinton John McCain May 06 1 37% 48%   Rasmussen
Georgia Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 20 1 34% 54%   Rasmussen
Georgia Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 35% 56%   SurveyUSA
Georgia John Kerry George Bush   1 41% 58%   Election 2004
 
Hawaii Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 39%   SurveyUSA
Hawaii John Kerry George Bush   1 54% 45%   Election 2004
 
Idaho Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 27% 63%   SurveyUSA
Idaho John Kerry George Bush   1 30% 69%   Election 2004
 
Illinois Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 48% 37%   SurveyUSA
Illinois John Kerry George Bush   1 55% 45%   Election 2004
 
Indiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 24 4 41% 52%   Research 2000
Indiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 23 4 46% 46%   Selzer
Indiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 16 3 42% 53%   IPFW U.
Indiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 36% 53%   SurveyUSA
Indiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 04 2 42% 51%   SurveyUSA
Indiana John Kerry George Bush   1 39% 60%   Election 2004
 
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain May 13 1 42% 45%   Rasmussen
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 23 3 43% 42%   Research 2000
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 42% 48%   SurveyUSA
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 31 1 36% 51%   Rasmussen
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 44% 48%   SurveyUSA
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 46%   SurveyUSA
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 18 1 37% 47%   Rasmussen
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 41% 52%   SurveyUSA
Iowa John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 50%   Election 2004
 
Kansas Hillary Clinton John McCain May 13 1 39% 53%   Rasmussen
Kansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 36% 57%   SurveyUSA
Kansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 36% 55%   SurveyUSA
Kansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 51%   SurveyUSA
Kansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 35% 59%   SurveyUSA
Kansas John Kerry George Bush   1 37% 62%   Election 2004
 
Kentucky Hillary Clinton John McCain May 09 3 41% 53%   Research 2000
Kentucky Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 46% 48%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 43% 53%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 50%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 04 2 43% 53%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky John Kerry George Bush   1 40% 60%   Election 2004
 
Louisiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 09 1 36% 58%   Rasmussen
Louisiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 09 15 42% 49%   Opinion Res.
Louisiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 51%   SurveyUSA
Louisiana John Kerry George Bush   1 42% 57%   Election 2004
 
Maine Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 01 1 47% 42%   Rasmussen
Maine Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 48% 42%   SurveyUSA
Maine John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 45%   Election 2004
 
Maryland Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 40%   SurveyUSA
Maryland Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 01 8 47% 40%   Gonzales Res.
Maryland John Kerry George Bush   1 56% 43%   Election 2004
 
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 23 1 55% 36%   Rasmussen
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 56% 41%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 18 1 54% 35%   Rasmussen
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 55% 42%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 55% 37%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 52% 43%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts John Kerry George Bush   1 62% 37%   Election 2004
 
Michigan Hillary Clinton John McCain May 08 1 44% 44%   Rasmussen
Michigan Hillary Clinton John McCain May 07 1 44% 44%   Rasmussen
Michigan Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 08 6 37% 46%   EPIC-MRA
Michigan Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 25 1 42% 45%   Rasmussen
Michigan Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 10 1 43% 46%   Rasmussen
Michigan Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 44% 44%   SurveyUSA
Michigan John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 48%   Election 2004
 
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain May 15 4 49% 40%   Star Tribune
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 22 1 47% 42%   Rasmussen
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 47% 46%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 19 1 46% 47%   Rasmussen
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 49% 46%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 47% 43%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 16 1 42% 47%   Rasmussen
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 49% 45%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 48%   Election 2004
 
Mississippi Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 51%   SurveyUSA
Mississippi John Kerry George Bush   1 40% 60%   Election 2004
 
Missouri Hillary Clinton John McCain May 06 1 43% 45%   Rasmussen
Missouri Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 47% 46%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 24 1 41% 50%   Rasmussen
Missouri Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 46% 48%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 44% 48%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 51% 44%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 12 1 42% 43%   Rasmussen
Missouri John Kerry George Bush   1 46% 53%   Election 2004
 
Montana Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 06 1 36% 54%   Rasmussen
Montana Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 33% 53%   SurveyUSA
Montana John Kerry George Bush   1 39% 59%   Election 2004
 
Nebraska Hillary Clinton John McCain May 15 1 34% 57%   Rasmussen
Nebraska Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 30% 57%   SurveyUSA
Nebraska John Kerry George Bush   1 32% 67%   Election 2004
 
Nevada Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 21 1 38% 49%   Rasmussen
Nevada Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 19 1 44% 43%   Rasmussen
Nevada Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 49%   SurveyUSA
Nevada Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 12 1 40% 49%   Rasmussen
Nevada John Kerry George Bush   1 48% 51%   Election 2004
 
New Hampshire Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 30 1 44% 47%   Rasmussen
New Hampshire Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 30 6 44% 47%   U. of New Hampshire
New Hampshire Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 1 41% 47%   Rasmussen
New Hampshire Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 49%   SurveyUSA
New Hampshire John Kerry George Bush   1 50% 49%   Election 2004
 
New Jersey Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 28 5 52% 38%   Monmouth U.
New Jersey Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 27 1 42% 45%   Rasmussen
New Jersey Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 30 7 48% 43%   Fairleigh Dickinson U.
New Jersey Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 27 1 50% 39%   Rasmussen
New Jersey Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 47% 42%   SurveyUSA
New Jersey John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 47%   Election 2004
 
New Mexico Hillary Clinton John McCain May 14 1 47% 41%   Rasmussen
New Mexico Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 46% 49%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 08 1 43% 46%   Rasmussen
New Mexico Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 51% 45%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 47% 47%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 18 2 38% 50%   Rasmussen
New Mexico Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 50% 45%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 50%   Election 2004
 
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain May 01 1 60% 31%   Rasmussen
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 15 2 49% 37%   Quinnipiac U.
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 16 4 46% 42%   Siena Coll.
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 55% 39%   SurveyUSA
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 08 6 48% 46%   Marist Coll.
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 18 3 50% 40%   Quinnipiac U.
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 54% 41%   SurveyUSA
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 11 1 50% 38%   Rasmussen
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 55% 33%   SurveyUSA
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 52% 41%   SurveyUSA
New York John Kerry George Bush   1 58% 41%   Election 2004
 
North Carolina Hillary Clinton John McCain May 08 1 40% 43%   Rasmussen
North Carolina Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 30 3 39% 51%   Research 2000
North Carolina Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 10 1 40% 51%   Rasmussen
North Carolina Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 10 2 37% 50%   Tel Opinion Research
North Carolina Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 20 1 34% 50%   Rasmussen
North Carolina Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 49%   SurveyUSA
North Carolina John Kerry George Bush   1 44% 56%   Election 2004
 
North Dakota Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 03 11 33% 53%   Dakota Wesleyan U.
North Dakota Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 35% 54%   SurveyUSA
North Dakota John Kerry George Bush   1 36% 63%   Election 2004
 
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 29 7 48% 38%   Quinnipiac U.
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 53% 42%   SurveyUSA
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 08 1 42% 47%   Rasmussen
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 31 8 48% 39%   Quinnipiac U.
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 44%   SurveyUSA
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 13 1 40% 46%   Rasmussen
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 40%   SurveyUSA
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 52% 42%   SurveyUSA
Ohio John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 51%   Election 2004
 
Oklahoma Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 50%   SurveyUSA
Oklahoma John Kerry George Bush   1 34% 66%   Election 2004
 
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain May 07 1 46% 40%   Rasmussen
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 47% 46%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 26 1 40% 46%   Rasmussen
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 44%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 48%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 41% 49%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 13 1 42% 45%   Rasmussen
Oregon John Kerry George Bush   1 52% 48%   Election 2004
 
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain May 06 6 49% 38%   Susquehanna Polling
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 29 7 51% 37%   Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 24 1 47% 42%   Rasmussen
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 09 1 47% 38%   Rasmussen
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 31 8 48% 40%   Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 10 1 44% 46%   Rasmussen
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 10 6 47% 44%   Susquehanna Polling
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 47% 46%   SurveyUSA
Pennsylvania John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 49%   Election 2004
 
Rhode Island Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 54% 37%   SurveyUSA
Rhode Island John Kerry George Bush   1 60% 39%   Election 2004
 
South Carolina Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 48%   SurveyUSA
South Carolina John Kerry George Bush   1 41% 58%   Election 2004
 
South Dakota Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 03 11 30% 59%   Dakota Wesleyan U.
South Dakota Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 04 1 38% 50%   Rasmussen
South Dakota Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 40% 52%   SurveyUSA
South Dakota John Kerry George Bush   1 38% 60%   Election 2004
 
Tennessee Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 03 1 38% 52%   Rasmussen
Tennessee Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 46%   SurveyUSA
Tennessee John Kerry George Bush   1 43% 57%   Election 2004
 
Texas Hillary Clinton John McCain May 07 3 38% 53%   Research 2000
Texas Hillary Clinton John McCain May 01 1 43% 49%   Rasmussen
Texas Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 49%   SurveyUSA
Texas John Kerry George Bush   1 38% 61%   Election 2004
 
Utah Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 27% 65%   SurveyUSA
Utah John Kerry George Bush   1 26% 71%   Election 2004
 
Vermont Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 39%   SurveyUSA
Vermont John Kerry George Bush   1 59% 39%   Election 2004
 
Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain May 08 1 41% 47%   Rasmussen
Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 39% 55%   SurveyUSA
Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 27 1 36% 58%   Rasmussen
Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 47% 47%   SurveyUSA
Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 40% 50%   SurveyUSA
Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 19 1 41% 51%   Rasmussen
Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 45% 48%   SurveyUSA
Virginia John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 54%   Election 2004
 
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain May 12 1 49% 45%   SurveyUSA
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 16 3 48% 45%   SurveyUSA
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 27 1 43% 46%   Rasmussen
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 20 3 38% 41%   Elway Poll
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 45%   SurveyUSA
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 1 40% 48%   Rasmussen
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 44% 46%   SurveyUSA
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 04 2 46% 46%   SurveyUSA
Washington John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 46%   Election 2004
 
West Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 47% 42%   SurveyUSA
West Virginia John Kerry George Bush   1 43% 56%   Election 2004
 
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain May 05 1 43% 47%   Rasmussen
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 24 10 41% 47%   U. of Wisconsin
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 13 3 46% 46%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Apr 05 12 42% 46%   St. Norbert Coll.
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 26 1 39% 50%   Rasmussen
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 46% 45%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 48% 44%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 21 1 38% 50%   Rasmussen
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 42% 49%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin John Kerry George Bush   1 50% 49%   Election 2004
 
Wyoming Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 3 28% 61%   SurveyUSA
Wyoming John Kerry George Bush   1 29% 69%   Election 2004