Mar. 25

Electoral Votes: Clinton 273     McCain 221     Ties 44

 
Obama vs. McCain
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strong Dem Strong Dem (129)
weak Dem Weak Dem (56)
barely Dem Barely Dem (88)
tied Exactly tied (44)
barely GOP Barely GOP (35)
weak GOP Weak GOP (65)
strong GOP Strong GOP (121)
270 Electoral votes needed to win
Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: NC NV WA
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): FL NV NM WV  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): MI NH  

Polling data in .csv format. The format is: Day#, Length-of-poll, State, EVs, Dem, GOP, Ind, Date, , , , , , , , Pollster-length

State Democrat Republican End Len Dem GOP I Pollster
Alabama Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 38% 56%   SurveyUSA
Alabama Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 41% 51%   SurveyUSA
Alabama Hillary Clinton John McCain Jan 17 2 37% 58%   SurveyUSA
Alabama John Kerry George Bush   1 37% 63%   Election 2004
 
Alaska Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 34% 56%   SurveyUSA
Alaska John Kerry George Bush   1 35% 62%   Election 2004
 
Arizona Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 39% 54%   SurveyUSA
Arizona John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 55%   Election 2004
 
Arkansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 18 1 43% 50%   Rasmussen
Arkansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 11 6 51% 36%   Opinion Research
Arkansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 51% 40%   SurveyUSA
Arkansas John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 54%   Election 2004
 
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 56% 38%   SurveyUSA
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 12 1 46% 39%   Rasmussen
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 50% 40%   SurveyUSA
California Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 58% 35%   SurveyUSA
California John Kerry George Bush   1 55% 44%   Election 2004
 
Colorado Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 17 1 38% 52%   Rasmussen
Colorado Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 42% 48%   SurveyUSA
Colorado John Kerry George Bush   1 47% 52%   Election 2004
 
Connecticut Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 11 1 47% 44%   Rasmussen
Connecticut Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 50% 40%   SurveyUSA
Connecticut John Kerry George Bush   1 54% 44%   Election 2004
 
D.C. John Kerry George Bush   1 90% 9%   Election 2004
 
Delaware Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 46% 41%   SurveyUSA
Delaware John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 46%   Election 2004
 
Florida Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 12 1 40% 47%   Rasmussen
Florida Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 51% 42%   SurveyUSA
Florida Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 16 1 43% 49%   Rasmussen
Florida John Kerry George Bush   1 47% 52%   Election 2004
 
Georgia Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 20 1 34% 54%   Rasmussen
Georgia Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 35% 56%   SurveyUSA
Georgia John Kerry George Bush   1 41% 58%   Election 2004
 
Hawaii Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 43% 39%   SurveyUSA
Hawaii John Kerry George Bush   1 54% 45%   Election 2004
 
Idaho Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 27% 63%   SurveyUSA
Idaho John Kerry George Bush   1 30% 69%   Election 2004
 
Illinois Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 48% 37%   SurveyUSA
Illinois John Kerry George Bush   1 55% 45%   Election 2004
 
Indiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 36% 53%   SurveyUSA
Indiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 04 2 42% 51%   SurveyUSA
Indiana John Kerry George Bush   1 39% 60%   Election 2004
 
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 44% 48%   SurveyUSA
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 41% 46%   SurveyUSA
Iowa Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 41% 52%   SurveyUSA
Iowa John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 50%   Election 2004
 
Kansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 36% 55%   SurveyUSA
Kansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 42% 51%   SurveyUSA
Kansas Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 35% 59%   SurveyUSA
Kansas John Kerry George Bush   1 37% 62%   Election 2004
 
Kentucky Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 43% 53%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 41% 50%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 04 2 43% 53%   SurveyUSA
Kentucky John Kerry George Bush   1 40% 60%   Election 2004
 
Louisiana Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 41% 51%   SurveyUSA
Louisiana John Kerry George Bush   1 42% 57%   Election 2004
 
Maine Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 48% 42%   SurveyUSA
Maine John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 45%   Election 2004
 
Maryland Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 49% 40%   SurveyUSA
Maryland Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 01 7 47% 40%   Gonzales Res.
Maryland John Kerry George Bush   1 56% 43%   Election 2004
 
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 18 1 54% 35%   Rasmussen
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 55% 42%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 55% 37%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 52% 43%   SurveyUSA
Massachusetts John Kerry George Bush   1 62% 37%   Election 2004
 
Michigan Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 10 1 43% 46%   Rasmussen
Michigan Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 44% 44%   SurveyUSA
Michigan John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 48%   Election 2004
 
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 49% 46%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 47% 43%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 16 1 42% 47%   Rasmussen
Minnesota Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 49% 45%   SurveyUSA
Minnesota John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 48%   Election 2004
 
Mississippi Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 42% 51%   SurveyUSA
Mississippi John Kerry George Bush   1 40% 60%   Election 2004
 
Missouri Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 46% 48%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 44% 48%   SurveyUSA
Missouri Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 51% 44%   SurveyUSA
Missouri John Kerry George Bush   1 46% 53%   Election 2004
 
Montana Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 33% 53%   SurveyUSA
Montana John Kerry George Bush   1 39% 59%   Election 2004
 
Nebraska Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 30% 57%   SurveyUSA
Nebraska John Kerry George Bush   1 32% 67%   Election 2004
 
Nevada Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 19 1 44% 43%   Rasmussen
Nevada Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 41% 49%   SurveyUSA
Nevada Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 12 1 40% 49%   Rasmussen
Nevada John Kerry George Bush   1 48% 51%   Election 2004
 
New Hampshire Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 1 41% 47%   Rasmussen
New Hampshire Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 41% 49%   SurveyUSA
New Hampshire John Kerry George Bush   1 50% 49%   Election 2004
 
New Jersey Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 47% 42%   SurveyUSA
New Jersey Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 27 1 50% 39%   Rasmussen
New Jersey John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 47%   Election 2004
 
New Mexico Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 51% 45%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 47% 47%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 50% 45%   SurveyUSA
New Mexico John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 50%   Election 2004
 
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 18 3 50% 40%   Quinnipiac U.
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 54% 41%   SurveyUSA
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 11 1 50% 38%   Rasmussen
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 55% 33%   SurveyUSA
New York Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 52% 41%   SurveyUSA
New York John Kerry George Bush   1 58% 41%   Election 2004
 
North Carolina Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 20 1 34% 50%   Rasmussen
North Carolina Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 41% 49%   SurveyUSA
North Carolina John Kerry George Bush   1 44% 56%   Election 2004
 
North Dakota Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 35% 54%   SurveyUSA
North Dakota John Kerry George Bush   1 36% 63%   Election 2004
 
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 44%   SurveyUSA
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 13 1 40% 46%   Rasmussen
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 50% 40%   SurveyUSA
Ohio Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 52% 42%   SurveyUSA
Ohio John Kerry George Bush   1 49% 51%   Election 2004
 
Oklahoma Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 42% 50%   SurveyUSA
Oklahoma John Kerry George Bush   1 34% 66%   Election 2004
 
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 44%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 43% 48%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 41% 49%   SurveyUSA
Oregon Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 13 1 42% 45%   Rasmussen
Oregon John Kerry George Bush   1 52% 48%   Election 2004
 
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 10 1 44% 46%   Rasmussen
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 10 6 47% 44%   Susquehanna Polling
Pennsylvania Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 47% 46%   SurveyUSA
Pennsylvania John Kerry George Bush   1 51% 49%   Election 2004
 
Rhode Island Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 54% 37%   SurveyUSA
Rhode Island John Kerry George Bush   1 60% 39%   Election 2004
 
South Carolina Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 42% 48%   SurveyUSA
South Carolina John Kerry George Bush   1 41% 58%   Election 2004
 
South Dakota Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 40% 52%   SurveyUSA
South Dakota Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 04 1 38% 50%   Rasmussen
South Dakota John Kerry George Bush   1 38% 60%   Election 2004
 
Tennessee Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 46% 46%   SurveyUSA
Tennessee John Kerry George Bush   1 43% 57%   Election 2004
 
Texas Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 42% 49%   SurveyUSA
Texas John Kerry George Bush   1 38% 61%   Election 2004
 
Utah Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 27% 65%   SurveyUSA
Utah John Kerry George Bush   1 26% 71%   Election 2004
 
Vermont Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 49% 39%   SurveyUSA
Vermont John Kerry George Bush   1 59% 39%   Election 2004
 
Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 47% 47%   SurveyUSA
Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 40% 50%   SurveyUSA
Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 45% 48%   SurveyUSA
Virginia John Kerry George Bush   1 45% 54%   Election 2004
 
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 20 3 38% 41%   Elway Poll
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 45%   SurveyUSA
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 44% 46%   SurveyUSA
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 28 1 40% 48%   Rasmussen
Washington Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 04 2 46% 46%   SurveyUSA
Washington John Kerry George Bush   1 53% 46%   Election 2004
 
West Virginia Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 47% 42%   SurveyUSA
West Virginia John Kerry George Bush   1 43% 56%   Election 2004
 
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 16 3 46% 45%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 48% 44%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin Hillary Clinton John McCain Feb 17 3 42% 49%   SurveyUSA
Wisconsin John Kerry George Bush   1 50% 49%   Election 2004
 
Wyoming Hillary Clinton John McCain Mar 06 1 28% 61%   SurveyUSA
Wyoming John Kerry George Bush   1 29% 69%   Election 2004