Both the DCCC and the NRCC have released their fundraising totals through August. It is very
bad news for the Republicans.
The story is at
CQ Politics.
The Democrats have a net $19 million to spend on congressional races; the Republicans have a net of $-2 million.
These figures mean that in close races, Rep. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), chairman of the DCCC, can pour money in to
help his candidate while Rep. Tom Cole (R-OH), chairman of the NRCC, is broke. This situation is a massive
reversal of the historical pattern in which the Republicans outraise the Democrats nine ways to Sunday. Coupled
with more than half a dozen Republican retirements, it is going to be well nigh impossible for the GOP to take
back the House. The Senate looks even worse, as we have reported over the past two weeks.
Committee
Receipts 2007
Spent
Cash on Hand
Debt
Net
DCCC
$44 million
$23 million
$22 million
$3 million
$19 million
NRCC
$35 million
$34 million
$2 million
$4 million
$-2 million
Note: The numbers in each cell are rounded to the nearest million, which is why the arithmetic appears to be wrong.
Here are the state polls for President as of right now. On the Democratic side,
Hillary Clinton has a massive lead not only in the national polls, but also in
the state polls. Here is the list of where each candidate leads in the state polls
(states with no poll in the past 3 months are not listed):
Hillary Clinton: AL, AZ, CA, CO, FL, GA, IA, MD, MI, MO, NV, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, SC
Barack Obama: ID, IL
John Edwards: (none)
The Republican side is a far murkier story. Each of the big four is ahead somewhere:
Rudy Giuliani: CA, FL, IL, MD, MO, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA
John McCain: AZ
Mitt Romney: ID, IA, MI, NV, NH
Fred Thompson: AL, CO, GA, SC
While Giuliani is ahead in the big states that vote on Feb. 5, he is not ahead in any of the early states.
Romney is leading in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada, and Thompson is leading in South Carolina. If Giuliani
loses all of the early states, he will go into Feb. 5 quite sullied and who knows what will come out.
Below is the complete polling data. It is also available as a
.csv file.
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Alabama
ARG
Aug. 2
38%
19%
17%
26%
16%
3%
31%
Alabama
Capital Survey
July 19
33%
29%
9%
20%
11%
5%
34%
Alabama
Capital Survey
May 1
37%
21%
9%
29%
23%
7%
Alabama
U. of South Alabama
Apr. 19
33%
25%
12%
28%
23%
3%
Alabama
Capital Survey
Mar. 6
35%
19%
9%
28%
23%
3%
Alabama
ARG
Feb. 13
44%
13%
11%
31%
19%
3%
Alabama
Capital Survey
Jan. 17
27%
14%
19%
20%
24%
3%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Arizona
ARG
July 26
39%
25%
8%
23%
32%
7%
15%
Arizona
Rocky Mtn Poll
May 29
26%
22%
7%
20%
35%
7%
Arizona
Arizona State U.
Apr. 22
25%
20%
18%
27%
32%
11%
Arizona
Rocky Mtn Poll
Mar. 21
27%
20%
9%
25%
34%
11%
Arizona
Arizona State U.
Feb. 25
28%
24%
14%
25%
44%
6%
Arizona
ARG
Feb. 13
33%
24%
13%
21%
45%
2%
Arizona
Rocky Mtn Poll
Jan. 22
32%
15%
18%
13%
40%
11%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Arkansas
ARG
Mar. 19
49%
16%
12%
12%
21%
4%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
California
Field Poll
Sep. 11
41%
23%
14%
22%
15%
16%
16%
California
Field Poll
Aug. 12
35%
22%
16%
35%
9%
14%
13%
California
ARG
Aug. 2
35%
22%
16%
30%
7%
18%
18%
California
Public Policy Inst.
June 19
41%
25%
12%
31%
16%
13%
13%
California
ARG
May 8
37%
28%
15%
27%
24%
11%
California
Field Poll
Mar. 31
41%
28%
13%
36%
24%
7%
California
SurveyUSA
Mar. 6
44%
31%
10%
41%
23%
8%
California
Datamar
Feb. 15
34%
24%
16%
41%
17%
11%
California
ARG
Jan. 17
36%
33%
6%
33%
18%
3%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Colorado
ARG
Sep. 18
36%
20%
19%
20%
12%
8%
25%
Colorado
ARG
July 18
39%
22%
10%
35%
11%
9%
20%
Colorado
ARG
Apr. 2
34%
23%
17%
25%
23%
9%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Connecticut
Quinnipiac U.
May 7
28%
20%
8%
36%
15%
9%
Connecticut
Quinnipiac U.
Feb. 12
33%
21%
5%
43%
27%
4%
Connecticut
ARG
Feb. 6
40%
8%
10%
32%
21%
14%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Delaware
Fairleigh Dickinson U.
Feb. 25
34%
19%
10%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Florida
Mason-Dixon
Sep. 18
47%
19%
9%
24%
9%
13%
23%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
Sep. 9
42%
13%
9%
28%
10%
11%
17%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
Aug. 6
43%
13%
8%
26%
11%
9%
19%
Florida
Mason-Dixon
July 26
31%
17%
12%
21%
11%
7%
18%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
July 16
36%
14%
9%
30%
10%
9%
18%
Florida
ARG
July 15
45%
25%
9%
33%
7%
12%
27%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
June 25
43%
16%
11%
29%
13%
9%
29%
Florida
Zogby
June 6
36%
16%
11%
31%
12%
12%
10%
Florida
Schroth/Polling Co.
May 9
42%
19%
12%
29%
15%
14%
Florida
ARG
May 8
45%
17%
15%
31%
18%
11%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
Apr. 24
36%
13%
11%
38%
15%
7%
Florida
U. of North Florida
Apr. 13
35%
20%
9%
31%
14%
6%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 27
36%
13%
11%
35%
15%
5%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 4
38%
13%
6%
38%
18%
6%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
Feb. 4
49%
13%
7%
29%
23%
6%
Florida
ARG
Jan. 9
30%
14%
15%
30%
15%
2%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Georgia
ARG
Aug. 6
35%
25%
17%
20%
7%
14%
27%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Idaho
Greg Smith
July 13
31%
33%
15%
20%
14%
38%
18%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Illinois
ARG
July 9
33%
37%
10%
30%
12%
11%
21%
Illinois
ARG
Jan. 14
30%
36%
5%
33%
24%
12%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Iowa
LA Times
Sep. 10
28%
19%
23%
16%
7%
28%
16%
Iowa
ARG
Aug. 29
28%
23%
20%
17%
5%
27%
13%
Iowa
Zogby
Aug. 18
30%
19%
23%
14%
6%
33%
12%
Iowa
U. of Iowa
Aug. 5
25%
19%
26%
11%
3%
28%
8%
Iowa
Selzer
July 31
26%
26%
27%
14%
26%
8%
13%
Iowa
ARG
July 30
30%
15%
21%
22%
17%
21%
13%
Iowa
Research 2000
July 25
22%
16%
27%
13%
10%
25%
14%
Iowa
ARG
June 30
32%
13%
29%
18%
13%
25%
14%
Iowa
Mason-Dixon
June 16
22%
18%
21%
15%
6%
25%
17%
Iowa
Selzer
May 16
21%
23%
29%
17%
18%
30%
Iowa
Research 2000
May 15
28%
22%
26%
17%
18%
16%
Iowa
Zogby
May 15
24%
22%
26%
16%
18%
17%
Iowa
ARG
Apr. 30
23%
19%
27%
19%
26%
14%
Iowa
U. of Iowa
Mar. 31
28%
19%
34%
21%
20%
17%
Iowa
Zogby
Mar. 26
25%
23%
27%
25%
19%
11%
Iowa
ARG
Mar. 23
34%
16%
33%
29%
29%
10%
Iowa
Zogby
Feb. 9
24%
24%
18%
19%
17%
5%
Iowa
Zogby
Jan. 16
16%
27%
17%
19%
17%
5%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Kansas
Research 2000
May 23
27%
22%
21%
13%
13%
17%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Maine
Critical Insights
Apr. 27
39%
22%
16%
24%
21%
12%
Maine
ARG
Feb. 6
41%
14%
17%
33%
22%
13%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Maryland
OpinionWorks
Aug. 26
32%
19%
10%
32%
13%
8%
12%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Massachusetts
Suffolk U.
Apr. 15
32%
18%
19%
Massachusetts
ARG
Feb. 6
35%
24%
19%
29%
30%
7%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Michigan
ARG
Sep. 4
43%
21%
14%
13%
9%
39%
12%
Michigan
EPIC/MRA
Aug. 31
40%
21%
16%
23%
15%
25%
16%
Michigan
EPIC/MRA
Aug. 13
45%
26%
16%
19%
16%
12%
22%
Michigan
EPIC/MRA
June 13
38%
25%
14%
19%
22%
24%
8%
Michigan
ARG
May 7
38%
25%
14%
19%
22%
24%
Michigan
EPIC/MRA
Mar. 18
45%
29%
16%
26%
30%
21%
Michigan
ARG
Mar. 4
35%
30%
14%
30%
35%
Michigan
EPIC/MRA
Feb. 4
49%
20%
8%
32%
28%
8%
Michigan
ARG
Jan. 7
30%
30%
17%
34%
24%
10%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Missouri
ARG
Aug. 6
40%
15%
22%
23%
14%
11%
22%
Missouri
ARG
Jan. 9
30%
18%
17%
18%
31%
2%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Nevada
Research 2000
Aug. 16
33%
19%
15%
18%
8%
28%
18%
Nevada
Mason-Dixon
June 22
39%
17%
12%
17%
8%
20%
25%
Nevada
ARG
June 19
40%
16%
16%
21%
16%
23%
16%
Nevada
Mason-Dixon
May 1
37%
12%
13%
12%
19%
15%
Nevada
Zogby
Apr. 12
35%
21%
15%
37%
15%
15%
Nevada
Research 2000
Mar. 8
32%
20%
11%
38%
18%
4%
Nevada
Research 2000
Feb. 2
1900%
33%
19%
15%
18%
8%
28%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
New Hampshire
Franklin Pierce Coll.
Sep. 14
36%
18%
12%
23%
14%
30%
8%
New Hampshire
LA Times
Sep. 10
35%
16%
16%
23%
12%
28%
11%
New Hampshire
ARG
Aug. 29
37%
17%
14%
23%
12%
27%
8%
New Hampshire
Hart/McLaughlin
July 26
36%
19%
15%
17%
16%
33%
13%
New Hampshire
U. of New Hampshire
July 17
36%
27%
9%
20%
12%
34%
13%
New Hampshire
Research 2000
July 11
33%
25%
15%
21%
18%
28%
11%
New Hampshire
ARG
June 30
34%
25%
11%
19%
21%
27%
10%
New Hampshire
Suffolk U.
June 24
37%
19%
9%
22%
13%
26%
13%
New Hampshire
Mason-Dixon
June 7
26%
21%
18%
15%
16%
27%
12%
New Hampshire
Franklin Pierce Coll.
June 6
41%
17%
15%
18%
17%
27%
9%
New Hampshire
Zogby
May 16
28%
26%
15%
19%
19%
35%
New Hampshire
ARG
Apr. 29
37%
14%
26%
17%
29%
24%
New Hampshire
Zogby
Apr. 3
29%
23%
23%
19%
25%
25%
New Hampshire
U. of New Hampshire
Apr. 3
27%
20%
21%
29%
29%
17%
New Hampshire
ARG
Mar. 23
37%
23%
20%
19%
23%
17%
New Hampshire
Franklin Pierce Coll.
Mar. 12
32%
25%
16%
28%
29%
22%
New Hampshire
Suffolk U.
Feb. 28
28%
26%
17%
37%
27%
17%
New Hampshire
Zogby/UNH
Feb. 8
27%
23%
13%
27%
28%
13%
New Hampshire
Zogby
Jan. 17
19%
19%
23%
20%
26%
13%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
New Jersey
Rutgers/Eagleton
Aug. 7
45%
21%
16%
61%
10%
5%
8%
New Jersey
Quinnipiac U.
July 2
46%
19%
8%
48%
12%
7%
10%
New Jersey
Monmouth U.
Apr. 16
41%
22%
13%
49%
19%
6%
New Jersey
Quinnipiac U.
Apr. 16
38%
16%
9%
49%
18%
6%
New Jersey
Fairleigh Dickinson U.
Mar. 4
46%
18%
10%
59%
20%
6%
New Jersey
Quinnipiac U.
Feb. 25
41%
19%
5%
58%
15%
2%
New Jersey
Quinnipiac U.
Jan. 22
30%
8%
16%
39%
21%
5%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
New Mexico
ARG
Jan. 13
22%
17%
12%
38%
20%
7%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
New York
Siena Coll.
Sep. 16
42%
17%
11%
47%
16%
6%
9%
New York
Siena Coll.
July 28
48%
14%
7%
40%
13%
7%
11%
New York
Quinnipiac U.
June 17
44%
14%
6%
46%
8%
3%
14%
New York
Siena Coll.
Apr. 20
39%
17%
11%
47%
16%
8%
New York
Blum+Weprin
Apr. 7
49%
17%
11%
56%
15%
5%
New York
ARG
Apr. 2
41%
20%
16%
50%
14%
7%
New York
Quinnipiac U.
Apr. 2
44%
14%
9%
52%
13%
6%
New York
Siena Coll.
Mar. 22
43%
11%
7%
31%
20%
6%
New York
Quinnipiac U.
Feb. 11
47%
16%
7%
51%
17%
1%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
North Carolina
Elon U.
Apr. 19
20%
20%
26%
32%
22%
10%
North Carolina
ARG
Jan. 15
26%
19%
30%
34%
26%
2%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
Sep. 3
44%
15%
11%
23%
17%
11%
15%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
Aug. 6
41%
16%
11%
29%
11%
8%
11%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
July 9
35%
17%
13%
24%
14%
8%
18%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
June 25
46%
14%
15%
26%
16%
8%
18%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
May 13
38%
19%
11%
23%
17%
11%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
Apr. 24
37%
14%
17%
23%
21%
6%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 19
32%
22%
11%
31%
20%
6%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 4
32%
19%
13%
35%
18%
3%
Ohio
U. of Akron
Feb. 21
42%
16%
17%
36%
28%
6%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
Jan. 28
38%
11%
13%
30%
22%
4%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Oklahoma
Sooner
Apr. 30
29%
13%
29%
32%
23%
6%
Oklahoma
ARG
Feb. 13
40%
15%
16%
37%
21%
2%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Oregon
Riley Research
Aug. 15
26%
18%
17%
16%
8%
15%
11%
Oregon
Riley Research
Mar. 13
31%
21%
8%
33%
20%
5%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Pennsylvania
Franklin+Marshall Coll.
Sep. 2
38%
21%
17%
32%
19%
12%
11%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
Aug. 20
42%
12%
8%
31%
13%
7%
8%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
Aug. 6
35%
19%
10%
29%
16%
3%
14%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
June 25
38%
22%
10%
29%
16%
4%
15%
Pennsylvania
Franklin+Marshall Coll.
June 4
40%
18%
21%
29%
29%
12%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
Apr. 24
36%
14%
13%
29%
17%
5%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 25
36%
17%
9%
33%
18%
5%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 4
29%
18%
11%
43%
17%
6%
Pennsylvania
Susquehanna
Feb. 20
42%
16%
11%
37%
29%
6%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
Feb. 5
37%
11%
11%
30%
20%
4%
Pennsylvania
ARG
Jan. 8
32%
12%
13%
35%
25%
1%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Rhode Island
Brown U.
Sep. 9
35%
16%
7%
Rhode Island
Brown U.
Jan. 27
33%
8%
15%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
South Carolina
LA Times
Sep. 10
45%
27%
7%
23%
15%
9%
26%
South Carolina
ARG
Aug. 29
32%
21%
24%
26%
12%
9%
21%
South Carolina
Clemson U.
Aug. 29
26%
16%
10%
18%
15%
11%
19%
South Carolina
ARG
July 30
29%
33%
18%
28%
10%
7%
27%
South Carolina
Opinion Research
July 18
27%
27%
17%
30%
21%
6%
18%
South Carolina
ARG
June 30
37%
22%
21%
22%
23%
8%
19%
South Carolina
Mason-Dixon
June 15
25%
34%
12%
21%
7%
11%
25%
South Carolina
Winthrop U.
May 27
29%
21%
11%
19%
14%
12%
6%
South Carolina
ARG
Apr. 30
36%
24%
18%
23%
36%
6%
South Carolina
Hamilton/McHenry
Apr. 19
31%
27%
16%
15%
24%
10%
South Carolina
Zogby
Apr. 17
33%
26%
21%
19%
22%
10%
South Carolina
ARG
Feb. 27
36%
25%
20%
29%
35%
5%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Texas
U. of Texas
May 7
33%
21%
8%
23%
27%
6%
11%
Texas
ARG
Mar. 19
34%
32%
11%
30%
20%
13%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Utah
ARG
Feb. 13
31%
18%
9%
13%
21%
40%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Vermont
ARG
Feb. 6
37%
19%
14%
29%
30%
7%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
West Virginia
ARG
Apr. 2
37%
22%
19%
29%
33%
8%
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Wisconsin
St. Norbert Coll.
Apr. 17
33%
30%
18%
26%
24%
9%
This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous
elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when
there is interesting news about the 2008 races.