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News from the Votemaster

Here is another batch of polls. As usual, the states to watch are Iowa and New Hampshire. The dates for their respective caucuses and primaries are still not set, what with the states leapfrogging each other like crazy. There is still a chance Iowa will stay in 2008, but anything can happen. The Iowa date is currently Jan. 14, 2008, but Florida's move to Jan. 29, 2008 has annoyed New Hampshire, which may move its primary up from Jan. 22, 2008 to Jan. 15, 2008, which would cause Iowa to move forward too. That may trigger other switches, and so on. It is a train wreck waiting to happen.

The most interesting development is Romney's surge. He is now leading in both Iowa and New Hampshire. If he manages to win both of these, he will go into Florida and SuperDuperTuesday (Feb. 5, 2008) with enormous momentum.

On the Democratic side, Edwards continues to lead in Iowa, but has apparently fallen behind in New Hampshire, with Hillary Clinton now in first place there. But keep the volatility in mind in all these races. The results change frequently.

State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Alabama U. of South Alabama Apr. 19 33% 25% 12% 28% 23% 3%
Alabama Capital Survey Mar. 6 35% 19% 9% 28% 23% 3%
Alabama ARG Feb. 13 44% 13% 11% 31% 19% 3%
Alabama Capital Survey Jan. 17 27% 14% 19% 20% 24% 3%
 
Arizona Arizona State U. Apr. 22 25% 20% 18% 27% 32% 11%
Arizona Rocky Mtn Poll Mar. 21 27% 20% 9% 25% 34% 11%
Arizona Arizona State U. Feb. 25 28% 24% 14% 25% 44% 6%
Arizona ARG Feb. 13 33% 24% 13% 21% 45% 2%
Arizona Rocky Mtn Poll Jan. 22 32% 15% 18% 13% 40% 11%
 
Arkansas ARG Mar. 23 49% 16% 12% 12% 21% 4%
Arkansas ARG Mar. 19 49% 16% 12% 12% 21% 4%
 
California ARG May 8 37% 28% 15% 27% 24% 11%
California Field Poll Mar. 31 41% 28% 13% 36% 24% 7%
California SurveyUSA Mar. 6 44% 31% 10% 41% 23% 8%
California Datamar Feb. 15 34% 24% 16% 41% 17% 11%
California ARG Jan. 17 36% 33% 6% 33% 18% 3%
 
Colorado ARG Apr. 2 34% 23% 17% 25% 23% 9%
 
Connecticut Quinnipiac U. May 7 28% 20% 8% 36% 15% 9%
Connecticut Quinnipiac U. Feb. 12 33% 21% 5% 43% 27% 4%
Connecticut ARG Feb. 6 40% 8% 10% 32% 21% 14%
 
Delaware FDU Feb. 25 34% 19% 10% 0% 0% 0%
 
Florida Schroth/Polling Co. May 9 42% 19% 12% 29% 15% 14%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 36% 13% 11% 38% 15% 7%
Florida U. of North Florida Apr. 13 35% 20% 9% 31% 14% 6%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Mar. 27 36% 13% 11% 35% 15% 5%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 38% 13% 6% 38% 18% 6%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Feb. 4 49% 13% 7% 29% 23% 6%
Florida ARG Jan. 9 30% 14% 15% 30% 15% 2%
 
Illinois ARG Jan. 14 30% 36% 5% 33% 24% 12%
 
Iowa Selzer May 16 21% 23% 29% 17% 18% 30%
Iowa Research 2000 May 15 28% 22% 26% 17% 18% 16%
Iowa Zogby May 15 24% 22% 26% 16% 18% 17%
Iowa ARG Apr. 30 23% 19% 27% 19% 26% 14%
Iowa U. of Iowa Mar. 31 28% 19% 34% 21% 20% 17%
Iowa Zogby Mar. 26 25% 23% 27% 25% 19% 11%
Iowa ARG Mar. 23 34% 16% 33% 29% 29% 10%
Iowa ARG Mar. 22 34% 33% 16% 29% 29% 10%
Iowa Zogby Feb. 9 24% 24% 18% 19% 17% 5%
Iowa Zogby Jan. 16 16% 27% 17% 19% 17% 5%
 
Kansas Research 2000 May 23 27% 22% 21% 13% 13% 17%
 
Maine Critical Insights Apr. 27 39% 22% 16% 24% 21% 12%
Maine ARG Feb. 6 41% 14% 17% 33% 22% 13%
 
Massachusetts Suffolk U. Apr. 15 32% 18% 19% 0% 0% 0%
Massachusetts ARG Feb. 6 35% 24% 19% 29% 30% 7%
 
Michigan ARG May 7 38% 25% 14% 19% 22% 24%
Michigan EPIC/MRA Mar. 18 45% 29% 16% 26% 30% 21%
Michigan ARG Mar. 4 35% 30% 14% 30% 35% 0%
Michigan EPIC/MRA Feb. 4 49% 20% 8% 32% 28% 8%
Michigan ARG Jan. 7 30% 30% 17% 34% 24% 10%
 
Missouri ARG Jan. 9 30% 18% 17% 18% 31% 2%
 
Nevada Mason-Dixon May 1 37% 12% 13% 12% 19% 15%
Nevada Zogby Apr. 12 35% 21% 15% 37% 15% 15%
Nevada Research 2000 Mar. 8 32% 20% 11% 38% 18% 4%
 
New Hampshire Zogby May 16 28% 26% 15% 19% 19% 35%
New Hampshire ARG Apr. 29 37% 14% 26% 17% 29% 24%
New Hampshire Zogby Apr. 3 29% 23% 23% 19% 25% 25%
New Hampshire U. of New Hampshire Apr. 3 27% 20% 21% 29% 29% 17%
New Hampshire ARG Mar. 23 37% 23% 20% 19% 23% 17%
New Hampshire Franklin Pierce Coll. Mar. 12 32% 25% 16% 28% 29% 22%
New Hampshire Suffolk U. Feb. 28 28% 26% 17% 37% 27% 17%
New Hampshire Zogby/UNH Feb. 8 27% 23% 13% 27% 28% 13%
New Hampshire Zogby Jan. 17 19% 19% 23% 20% 26% 13%
 
New Jersey Monmouth U. Apr. 16 41% 22% 13% 49% 19% 6%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Apr. 16 38% 16% 9% 49% 18% 6%
New Jersey FDU Mar. 4 46% 18% 10% 59% 20% 6%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Feb. 25 41% 19% 5% 58% 15% 2%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Jan. 22 30% 8% 16% 39% 21% 5%
 
New Mexico ARG Jan. 13 22% 17% 12% 38% 20% 7%
 
New York Siena Coll. Apr. 20 39% 17% 11% 47% 16% 8%
New York Blum+Weprin Apr. 7 49% 17% 11% 56% 15% 5%
New York ARG Apr. 2 41% 20% 16% 50% 14% 7%
New York Quinnipiac U. Apr. 2 44% 14% 9% 52% 13% 6%
New York Siena Coll. Mar. 22 43% 11% 7% 31% 20% 6%
New York Quinnipiac U. Feb. 11 47% 16% 7% 51% 17% 1%
 
North Carolina Elon U. Apr. 19 20% 20% 26% 32% 22% 10%
North Carolina ARG Jan. 15 26% 19% 30% 34% 26% 2%
 
Ohio Quinnipiac U. May 13 38% 19% 11% 23% 17% 11%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 37% 14% 17% 23% 21% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Mar. 19 32% 22% 11% 31% 20% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 32% 19% 13% 35% 18% 3%
Ohio U. of Akron Feb. 21 42% 16% 17% 36% 28% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Jan. 28 38% 11% 13% 30% 22% 4%
 
Oklahoma Sooner Apr. 30 29% 13% 29% 32% 23% 6%
Oklahoma ARG Feb. 13 40% 15% 16% 37% 21% 2%
 
Oregon Riley Research Mar. 13 31% 21% 8% 33% 20% 5%
 
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 36% 14% 13% 29% 17% 5%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Mar. 25 36% 17% 9% 33% 18% 5%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 29% 18% 11% 43% 17% 6%
Pennsylvania Susquehanna Feb. 20 42% 16% 11% 37% 29% 6%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Feb. 5 37% 11% 11% 30% 20% 4%
Pennsylvania ARG Jan. 8 32% 12% 13% 35% 25% 1%
 
Rhode Island Brown U. Jan. 27 33% 8% 15% 0% 0% 0%
 
South Carolina ARG Apr. 30 36% 24% 18% 23% 36% 6%
South Carolina Hamilton/McHenry Apr. 19 31% 27% 16% 15% 24% 10%
South Carolina Zogby Apr. 17 33% 26% 21% 19% 22% 10%
South Carolina ARG Feb. 27 36% 25% 20% 29% 35% 5%
 
Texas ARG Mar. 19 34% 32% 11% 30% 20% 13%
 
Utah ARG Feb. 13 31% 18% 9% 13% 21% 40%
 
Vermont ARG Feb. 6 37% 19% 14% 29% 30% 7%
 
West Virginia ARG Apr. 2 37% 22% 19% 29% 33% 8%
 
Wisconsin St. Norbert Coll. Apr. 17 33% 30% 18% 26% 24% 9%

This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when there is interesting news about the 2008 races.

Preview of the 2008 races:           President       Senate       House      

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